The time series plot for this area's precipitation anomalies show huge (≥ 1σ) positive anomalies, in common with the anomalies found in other regions around Lake Victoria's proximity. While the early 20th century observations are less reliable, the huge anomalies reported after the turn of the century are more realistic. The models give an indication for continued wet conditions in this area during the 21st century.
The time series plots show that the long-rains fell in abundance during much of the 20th century. The models project a continuation of wetter conditions (regular upward trend) in this area throughout the 21st century. However, the signal-to-noise ratio in the model projections for this season's precipitation is relatively low.
The annual cycle show a clear link between this region and areas further south. Atypical of near-equatorial regions, substantial rainfall amounts (> 4mm/day) are received in this area from January to March. The models are able to capture the annual march of precipitation in this area, albeit with clear wet biases. The models agree in projecting an increase in mean monthly precipitation almost throughout the year. However, from September to December, the HadGEM1 chooses a different path from the rest of the models (it projects drier conditions instead).