Research
Effects of El Niño on the world weather
All 3-month seasons
El Niño affects the
weather in large parts of the world. The effects depend
strongly on the location and the season. We have studied the
HadCRUT2 analyses of sea surface temperature and 2-meter
temperature over land with at least 35 years of data, and
investigated how these observations correlate with the
Niño3.4 index that describes the strength of El
Niño and La Niña.
The colours encode the strength of the relationship with El
Niño and La Niña. Red areas are almost always warmer
during El Niña and colder during La Niña. In the dark
orange areas El Niño determines about half the variability, in
the liht orange areas one quarter. In the dark green areas it is
often colder during El Niño or warmer during La Niña.
In North America the effect is non-linear.