Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute

 
Research
Effects of El Niño on the world weather
All 3-month seasons

El Niño affects the weather in large parts of the world. The effects depend strongly on the location and the season. We have studied the HadCRUT2 analyses of sea surface temperature and 2-meter temperature over land with at least 35 years of data, and investigated how these observations correlate with the Niño3.4 index that describes the strength of El Niño and La Niña.

Temperature

The colours encode the strength of the relationship with El Niño and La Niña. Red areas are almost always warmer during El Niña and colder during La Niña. In the dark orange areas El Niño determines about half the variability, in the liht orange areas one quarter. In the dark green areas it is often colder during El Niño or warmer during La Niña. In North America the effect is non-linear.

Relationship between El Niño and temperature in January-March
Relationship between El Niño and temperature in February-April
Relationship between El Niño and temperature in March-May
Relationship between El Niño and temperature in April-June
Relationship between El Niño and temperature in May-July
Relationship between El Niño and temperature in June-August
Relationship between El Niño and temperature in July-September
Relationship between El Niño and temperature in August-October
Relationship between El Niño and temperature in September-November
Relationship between El Niño and temperature in October-December
Relationship between El Niño and temperature in November-January
Relationship between El Niño and temperature in December-February