Publications Global Climate Research

Research

Publications Global Climate Division

2005

Refereed

Bracco, A., F. Kucharski, F. Molteni, W. Hazeleger and C. Severijns, Internal and forced modes of variability in the Indian Ocean Geophys. Res. Lett., 2005, 32, 12, doi:10.1029/2005GL023154. Complete text (pdf: 578 KB)

Brink, H.W. van den, G.P. Können, J.D. Opsteegh, G.J. van Oldenborgh and G. Burgers, Estimating return periods of extreme events from ECMWF seasonal forecast ensembles Int. J. Climatology, 2005, 25, 1345-1354, doi:10.1002/joc.1155. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)

Burgers, G., F.F. Jin and G.J. van Oldenborgh, The simplest ENSO recharge oscillator Geophys. Res. Lett., 2005, 32, 13, L13706, doi:10.1029/2005GL022951. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 108 KB)

Caires, S. and A. Sterl, 100-year return value estimates for ocean wind speed and significant wave height from the ERA-40 data J. Climate, 2005, 18, 7, 1032-1048. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 449 KB)

Caires, S. and A. Sterl, A new non-parametric method to correct model data: Application to significant wave height from the ERA-40 reanalysis J. Atm. Ocean. Tech., 2005, 22, 4, 443-459. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 1 MB)

Caires, S., A. Sterl and C.P. Gommemginger, Global ocean mean wave period data: validation and description J. Geophys. Res., C, 2005, 110, 2, doi:10.1029/2004JC002631. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 1 MB)

Caires, S. and J.A. Ferreira, On the Nonparametric Prediction of Conditionally Stationary Sequences Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, 2005, 8, 2, 151-184, doi:10.1007/s11203-004-0383-2. Abstract (html) Complete text (html)

Donners, J., S. Drijfhout and W. Hazeleger, Water mass transformation and subduction in the South Atlantic J. Phys. Oceanogr., 2005, 35, 10, 1841-1860, doi:10.1175/JPO2782.1. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)

Drijfhout, S.S., J. Donners and W.P.M. de Ruijter, The origin of Intermediate and Subpolar Mode Waters crossing the Atlantic equator. Geophys. Res. Lett., 2005, 32, doi:10.1029/2004GL021851. Complete text (pdf: 384 KB)

Drijfhout, S.S., What sets the surface eddy mass flux in the Southern Ocean? J. Phys. Oceanogr., 2005, 35, 11, 2152-2166, doi:10.1175/JPO2776.1. Complete text (pdf: 999 KB)

Friocourt, Y., S.S. Drijfhout, B. Blanke and S. Speich, Water mass export from Drake passage to the Atlantic, Indian and Pacific Oceans: a Lagrangian model analysis. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 2005, 35, 7, 1206-1222, doi:10.1175/JPO2748.1. Abstract (html)

Goodman, P., W. Hazeleger, P. de Vries and M. Cane, Pathways into the Pacific Equatorial Undercurrent: A trajectory analysis J. Phys. Oceanogr., 2005, 35, 11, 2134-2151.

Haarsma, R.J., E.J. Campos, W. Hazeleger, C. Severijns, A.R. Piola and F. Molteni, Dominant modes of variability in the South Atlantic: A study with a hierarchy of ocean-atmosphere models J. Climate, 2005, 18, 11, 1719-1735. Complete text (pdf: 874 KB)

Haarsma, R.J., F.M. Selten, S.L. Weber and M. Kliphuis, Sahel rainfall variability and response to greenhouse warming Geophys. Res. Lett., 2005, 32, doi:10.1029/2005GL023232. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 226 KB)

Hazeleger, W., Can global warming affect tropical ocean heat transport? Geophys. Res. Lett., 2005, 32, 22, L22701, doi:10.1029/2005GL023450. Complete text (pdf: 412 KB)

Hazeleger, W. and R.J. Haarsma, Sensitivity of tropical Atlantic climate to mixing in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model Clim. Dyn., 2005, 25, 4, 387-399, doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0047-y.

Hazeleger, W., C. Severijns, R. Seager and F. Molteni, Tropical Pacific-driven decadal energy transport variability J. Climate, 2005, 18, 12, 2037-2051.

Klein Tank, A.M.G., G.P. Können and F.M. Selten, Signals of anthropogenic influence on European warming as seen in the trend patterns of daily temperature variance Int. J. Climatology, 2005, 25, 1-16, doi:10.1002/joc.1087. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 819 KB)

Leeuwenburgh, O., Assimilation of along-track altimeter data in the Tropical Pacific region of a global OGCM ensemble Quart. J. Royal Meteorol. Soc., 2005, 131, 2455-2472, doi:10.1256/qj.04.146. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 3 MB)

Leeuwenburgh, O., G. Evensen and L. Bertino, The impact of ensemble filter definition on the assimilation of temperature profiles in the tropical Pacific Quart. J. Royal Meteor. Soc., 2005, 2005, 131, 3291-3300, doi:10.1256/qj.05.90. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 1 MB)

Masson-Delmotte, V., M. Kageyam, P. Braconnot, S. Charbit, G. Krinner, C. Ritz, E. Guilyardi, J. Jouzel, A. Abe-Ouchi, M. Crucifix, S.L. Weber, F. Wolk and Y. Yu, Past and future polar amplification of climate change Clim. Dyn., 2005, 26, 513-529, doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0081-9.

Oldenborgh, G.J. van, Comment on 'Predictability of winter climate over the North Atlantic European region during ENSO events' by P.-P. Mathieu, R. T. Sutton, B. Dong and M. Collins J. Climate, 2005, 18, 14, 2770-2772. Complete text (pdf: 257 KB)

Oldenborgh, G.J. van, M.A. Balmaseda, L. Ferranti, T.N. Stockdale and D.L.T. Anderson, Did the ECMWF seasonal forecast model outperform statistical ENSO forecast models over the last 15 years? J. Climate, 2005, 18, 16, 3240-3249, doi:10.1175/JCLI3420.1. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 234 KB)

Oldenborgh, G.J. van, S.Y. Philip and M. Collins, El Niño in a changing climate: a multi-model study Ocean Science, 2005, 1, 81-95, doi:10.5194/os-1-81-2005. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)

Oldenborgh, G.J. van, M.A. Balmaseda, L. Ferranti, T.N. Stockdale and D.L.T. Anderson, Evaluation of atmospheric fields from the ECMWF seasonal forecasts over a 15 year period J. Climate, 2005, 18, 5188-5198. J. Climate, 2005, 18, 16, 3250-3269, doi:10.1175/JCLI3421.1. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 3 MB)

Oldenborgh, G.J. van and G. Burgers, Searching for decadal variations in ENSO precipitation teleconnections Geophys. Res. Lett., 2005, 32, 15, L15701, doi:10.1029/2005GL023110. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 1 MB)

Schaeffer, M., F.M. Selten and J.D. Opsteegh, Shifts of means are not a proxy for changes in extreme winter temperatures in climate projections Clim. Dyn., 2005, 25, 51-63, doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0495-9. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 113 KB)

Severijns, C.A. and W. Hazeleger, Optimizing parameters in an atmospheric general circulation model J. Climate, 2005, 18, 17, 3527-3535, doi:10.1175/JCLI3430.1. Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)

Sterl, A. and S. Caires, Climatology, Variability and Extrema of Ocean Waves - The Web-based KNMI/ERA-40 Wave Atlas Int. J. Climatology, 2005, 25, 7, 963-977, doi:10.1002/joc.1175. Complete text (pdf: 3 MB)

Sterl, A. and W. Hazeleger, The relative roles of tropical and extratropical forcing on atmospheric variability Geophys. Res. Lett., 2005, 32, L18716, doi:10.1029/2005GL023757. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 1 MB)

Tuenter, E., S.L. Weber, F.J. Hilgen and L.J. Lourens, Sea-ice feedbacks on the climatic response to precession and obliquity forcing Geophys. Res. Lett., 2005, 32, doi:10.1029/2005GL024122.

Tuenter, E., S.L. Weber, F.J. Hilgen, L.J. Lourens and A. Ganopolski, Simulation of climate phase lags in the response to precession and obliquity forcing, and the role of vegetation Clim. Dyn., 2005, 24, 279-295, doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0490-1.

Uppala, S.M., P.W. Kallberg, A.J. Simmons, ...., S. Caires, ...., A. Sterl, ... and J. Woolllen, The ERA-40 Reanalysis Quart. J. Royal Meteorol. Soc., 2005, 131, 612, 2961-3012, doi:10.1256/qj.04.176.

Verkley, W.T.M., P.W.C. Vosbeek and A.R. Moene, Manually adjusting a numerical weather analysis using three-dimensional variational data-assimilation Quart. J. Royal Meteor. Soc., 2005, 131, 1713-1736, doi:10.1256/qj.03.202. Abstract (html)

Weber, S.L., A timescale analysis of the Northern Hemisphere temperature response to solar and volcanic forcing Climate of the Past, 2005, 1, 1, 9-17. Abstract (html)

Weber, S.L. and P. de Vries, The Atlantic freshwater budget as a diagnostic for the existence of a stable shut-down of the meridional overturning circulation Geophys. Res. Lett., 2005, 32, doi:10.1029/2004GL021450. Abstract (html)

Zelle, H., G.J. van Oldenborgh, G. Burgers and H. Dijkstra, El Niño and Greenhouse warming: Results from Ensemble Simulations with the NCAR CCSM J. Climate, 2005, 18, 22, 4669-4683. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 3 MB)

Zhao, Y., P. Braconnot, O. Marti, S.P. Harrison, C. Hewitt, A. Kitoh, Z. Liu, U. Mikolajewicz, B. Otto-Bliesner and S.L. Weber, A multi-model analysis of the role of the ocean on the African and Asian monsoon during the mid-Holocene Clim. Dyn., 2005, 25, 777-800, doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0075-7. Abstract (html)

van der Schrier, G. and J. Barkmeijer, Bjerknes' hypothesis on the coldness during AD 1790-1820 revisited Clim. Dyn., 2005, 24, 355-371, doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0506-x.

Other Scientific

Oldenborgh, G.J. van, Assessing the skill of seasonal forecasts In Biennial Scientific Report 2003-2004, W. Monna (Ed), 2005, De Bilt, KNMI, p72-77. Complete text (pdf)

Oldenborgh, G.J. van, Nederland nog warmer geworden Weer Magazine, 2003, 3, 10-13. In Klimaatverandering, H. Geurts en R. van Dorland (Ed), 2005, Utrecht, Kosmos-Z&K, ISBN 90 215 8082 9, p58-68. Complete text (html)

Oldenborgh, G.J. van, Winter 2005 Weer Magazine, 2004, 5, 6-7. In Klimaatverandering, H. Geurts en R. van Dorland (Ed), 2005, Utrecht, Kosmos-Z&K, ISBN 90 215 8082 9, p73-78. Complete text (html)

Sterl, A. and S. Caires, Estimating extreme wave height probabilities from observations and the ERA-40 reanalysis In Biennial Scientific Report 2003-2004, W. Monna (Ed), 2005, De Bilt, KNMI, p48-51. Complete text (pdf)