Royal Dutch Meteorological Institute; Ministery Of Infrastructure And The Environment

Publications Global Climate Division
Bakker, A.M.R. and B.J.J.M. Van den Hurk, Estimation of persistence and trends in geostrophic wind speed for the assessment of wind supply in Northwest Europe
Clim. Dyn., 2012, 39, 3, 767-782, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1248-1.
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Bintanja, R., E.C. van der Linden and W. Hazeleger, Boundary layer stability and Arcic climate change: a feedback study using EC-Earth
Clim. Dyn., 2012, 39, 2659-2712, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1272-1.
Bladé, I., B. Liebmann, D. Fortuny and G.J. van Oldenborgh, Observed and simulated impacts of the summer NAO (SNAO) in the Southern Europe/Mediterranean region: Connections to projected drying in this region
Clim. Dyn., 2012, 39, 709-727, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1195-x.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 3 MB)
Bladé, I., D. Fortuny, G.J. van Oldenborgh and B. Liebmann, The summer North Atlantic Oscillation in CMIP3 models and related uncertainties in projected summer drying in Europe
J. Geophys. Res., 2012, 117, D16104, doi:10.1029/2012JD017816.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)
Boer, B. de, R.S.W. van de Wal, L.J. Lourens, R. Bintanja and T.J. Reerink, A continuous simulation of global ice volume over the past 1 million years with 3-D ice-sheet models
Boisier, J.P., N. de Noblet, A.J. Pitman, F.T. Cruz, C. Delire, B. van den Hurk, M. van der Molen, C. Muller and A. Voldoire, Attributing the biogeophysical impacts of Land-Use induced Land-Cover Changes on surface climate to specific causes. Results from the first LUCID set of simulations
J. Geophys. Res., 2012, 117, doi:10.1029/2011JD017106.
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Bosmans, J.H.C., S.S. Drijfhout, E. Tuenter, L.J. Lourens, F.J. Hilgen and S.L. Weber, Monsoonal Response to Mid-Holocene Orbital Forcing in a High Resolution GCM
Climate of the Past, 2012, 8, 723-740, doi:10.5194/cp-8-723-2012.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 4 MB)
Cimatoribus, A.A., S.S. Drijfhout and H.A. Dijkstra, A global hybrid coupled model based on Atmosphere-SST feedbacks
Clim. Dyn., 2012, 38, 3, 745-760, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1094-1.
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Cimatoribus, A.A., S.S. Drijfhout, V. Livina and G. van der Schrier, Dansgaard-Oeschger events: tipping points in the climate system
Climate of the Past, 2012, 8, 4269-4294, doi:10.5194/cpd-8-4269-2012, 2012.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 932 KB)
Cimatoribus, A.A., M. den Toom, S.S. Drijfhout and H.A. Dijkstra, Sensitivity of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to South Atlantic freshwater anomalies.
Clim. Dyn., 2012, 39, 9, 2291-2306, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1292-5.
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Drijfhout, S.S., G.J. van Oldenborgh and A.A. Cimatoribus, Is the decline of the AMOC responsible for the warming hole above the North Atlantic in the 20th century warming pattern?
J. Climate, 2012, 25, 8373-8379, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00490.1.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 533 KB)
Gelderloos, R., F. Straneo and C.A. Katsman, Mechanisms behind the temporary shutdown of deep convection in the Labrador Sea: Lessons from the Great Salinity Anomaly years 1968-1971
J. Climate, 2012, 25, 6743-6755, doi:
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 739 KB)
Haarsma, R.J. and F.M. Selten, Anthropogenic changes in the Walker Circulation and their impact on the extra-tropical planetary wave structure in the Northern Hemisphere Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)
Haren, R. van, G.J. van Oldenborgh, G. Lenderink, M. Collins and W. Hazeleger, SST and circulation trend biases cause an underestimation of European precipitation trends Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)
Hazeleger, W., X. Wang, C. Severijns, S. Stefanescu, R. Bintanja, A. Sterl, K. Wyser, T. Semmler, S. Yang, B. van den Hurk, T. van Noije, E. van der Linden and K. van der Wiel, EC-Earth V2.2: description and validation of a new seamless Earth system prediction model
Clim. Dyn., 2012, 39, 2611-2629, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1228-5.
Hazeleger, W. and R. Bintanja, Studies with the EC-Earth seamless Earth system prediction model
Clim. Dyn., 39, 2012, 39, 2609-2610, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1577-8.
Hiemstra, P.H., N. Fujiwara, F.M. Selten and J. Kurths, Complete synchronization of chaotic atmospheric models by connecting only a subset of state space
Nonlin. Proc. Geophys., 2012, 19, 611-621, doi:10.5194/npg-19-611-2012.
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Hulten, M.M.P. van, A. Sterl, A. Tagliabue, J.-C. Dutay, M. Gehlen, H.J.W. de Baar and R. Middag, Aluminium in an ocean general circulation model
J. Marine Systems, 2012, doi:10.1016/j.jmarsys.2012.05.005.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 14 MB)
Hurk, B.J.J.M. van den, F. Doblas-Reyes, G. Balsamo, R.D. Koster, S.I. Seneviratne and H. Camargo Jr, Soil moisture effects on seasonal temperature and precipitation forecast scores in Europe Abstract (html)  
Mohamed, Y., W. Bastiaanssen, H. Savenije, B. van den Hurk and C. Finlaysson, Wetland versus open water evaporation: an analysis and literature review
Phys. Chem. Earth, 2012, 47, 114-121, doi:10.1016/j.pce.2011.08.005.
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Noblet-Decoudre, N. de, J.P. Boisier, A. Pitman, G.B. Bonan, V. Brovkin, F. Cruz, V. Gayler, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, P.J. Lawrence, M.K. van der Molen, C. Muller, C.H. Reick, B. Strengers and A. Voldoire, Determining robust impacts of land-­use induced land-­cover changes on surface climate over North America and Eurasia; Results from the first set of LUCID experiments
J. Climate, 2012, 25, 3261-3281.
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Oldenborgh, G.J. van, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, B. Wouters and W. Hazeleger, Skill in the trend and internal variability in a multi-model decadal prediction ensemble
Clim. Dyn., 2012, 38, 7, 1263-1280, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1313-4.
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Oldenborgh, G.J. van, A. van Urk and M.R. Allen, The absence of a role of climate change in the 2011 Thailand floods
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2012, 93, 1047-1049, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00021.1.
Presentation: IDAG workshop, 1/2/2012-3/2/2012, Boulder, Co, USA, NCAR (int.).
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Otto, F.E.L., N. Massey, G.J. van Oldenborgh, R.G. Jones and M.R. Allen, Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave
Geophys. Res. Lett., 2012, 39, 4, L04702, doi:10.1029/2011GL050422.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 572 KB)
Pelt, S.C. van, J.J. Beersma, T.A. Buishand, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk and P. Kabat, Future changes in extreme precipitation in the Rhine basin based on global and regional climate model simulations
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2012, 16, 4517-4530, doi:10.5194/hess-16-4517-2012.
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Pitman, A., N. de Noblet, F. Avila, L. Alexander, J.P. Boissier, V. Brovkin, C. Delire, F. Cruz, M.G. Donat, V. Gayler, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, C. Reick and A. Voldoire, Effects of land cover change on temperature and rainfall extremes in multi-model ensemble simulations
Earth System Dynamics, 3, 2012, 213-231, doi:10.5194/esd-3-213-2012.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)
Russo, S. and A. Sterl, Global changes in seasonal means and extremes of precipitation from daily climate model data
J. Geophys. Res., 2012, 117, D01108, doi:10.1029/2011JD016260.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 4 MB)
Slangen, A.B.A., C.A. Katsman, R.S.W. van der Wal, L.L.A. Vermeersen and R.E.M. Riva, Towards regional projections of twenty-first century sea-level change using IPCC SRES scenarios
Clim. Dyn., 2012, 38, 5, 1191-1209, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1057-6.
Smith, D., A. Scaife, G. Boer, M. Caian, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, V. Guemas, E. Hawkins, W. Hazeleger and et al, Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions
Sterl, A., R. Bintanja, L. Brodeau, E. Gleeson, T. Koenigk, T. Schmith, T. Semmler, C. Severijns, K. Wyser and S. Yang, A look at the ocean in the EC-Earth climate model
Clim. Dyn., 2012, 39, 11, 2631-2657, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1239-2.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 11 MB)
Vries, H. de, R. Haarsma and W. Hazeleger, On future reduction of snowfall in western and central Europe
Clim. Dyn., 2012, 1-12, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1583-x.
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Vries, H. de, R.J. Haarsma and W. Hazeleger, Western European cold spells in current and future climate
Geophys. Res. Lett., 2012, doi:10.1029/2011GL050665.
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Vuuren, D.P. van, L. Batlle-Bayer, C. Chuwah, L. Ganzeveld, W. Hazeleger, B. van den Hurk, T. van Noije, B. O'Neill and B.J. Strengers, A comprehensive view on climate change: Coupling of Earth System and Integrated Assessment Models
Environmental Research Letters, 2012, 7, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/2/024012.
Weijenborg, C., H. de Vries and R.J. Haarsma, On the direction of Rossby wave breaking in blocking Abstract (html)  
Weiss, M., B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, R. Haarsma and W. Hazeleger, Impact of vegetation variability on potential predictability and skill of EC-Earth simulations
Clim. Dyn., 2012, 39, 2733-2746, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1572-0.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 646 KB)
Winter, R.C. de, A. Sterl, J.W. de Vries, S.L. Weber and B.G. Ruessink, The effect of climate change on extreme waves in front of the Dutch coast
Ocean Dynamics, 2012, 62, 8, 1139-1152, doi:10.1007/s10236-012-0551-7.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 3 MB)
Wouters, B., S. Drijfhout and W. Hazeleger, Interdecadal North-Atlantic meridional overturning circulation variability in EC-EARTH
Clim. Dyn., 2012, 39, 2695-2712, doi:DOI 10.1007/s00382-012-1366-4.
Other Scientific
Hazeleger, W., Verhalen van Weer in de Toekomst
Book: 2012, Wageningen, Wageningen Universiteit, ISBN 978-94-6173-1, 20p.
Complete text (pdf)