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Research
Publications Statistical Postprocessing
2012
| Schmeits, M.J., Calibration of EPS forecasts with an example for precipitation from GLAMEPS Presentation: GLAMEPS course, 22/3/2012, De Bilt, KNMI (int.). |  | | Schmeits, M.J., T.A. Buishand and J.J. Beersma, Eerste resultaten onzekerheidsanalyse neerslaggenerator Rijn Presentation: GRADE-overleg, 25/10/2012, Utrecht, Deltares. | | | Schmeits, M.J., Over regenkansen en paraplu's STAtOR, 2012, 13, 1, 16-22. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 668 KB) | |
| Plas, E.V. van der, K. Kok and B. Wichers Schreur, A quantitative evaluation of the high resolution HARMONIE model for critical weather phenomena Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 2 MB) | |
| Gastel, V.A. van, Investigating MSG-SEVIRI data as an additional predictor source in the KNMI probabilistic (severe) thunderstorm forecasting system KNMI publication: IR-2012-01, 1/2012, pp65. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf) | |
2011
| Carbajal Henken, C., M.J. Schmeits, H. Deneke and R.A. Roebeling, Using MSG-SEVIRI cloud physical properties and weather radar observations for the detection of Cb/TCu clouds Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 1 MB) | |
| Kok, C.J., B.G.J. Wichers Schreur and D.H.P. Vogelezang, Meteorological support for anticipatory water management Abstract (html) | | | Kok, K., F. Koek and B. Wichers Schreur, First assessment of extreme weather warnings in Holland Poster: 11th EMS/10th ECAM, 12/9/2011-16/9/2011, Berlin. Abstract (html) | | | Kok, K. and B. Wichers Schreur, Valuing information from high resolution forecasts Poster: HEPEX, 7/6/2011-9/6/2011, Delft, UNESCO-IHE. Abstract (html) | | | Schmeits, M.J. and C.J. Kok, A comparison between raw ensemble output, (modified) Bayesian model averaging and extended logistic regression using ECMWF ensemble precipitation reforecasts Poster: EGU General Assembly 2011, 3/4/2011-8/4/2011, Wenen, EGU. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 173 KB) | | | Schmeits, M.J. and C.J. Kok, To what extent can statistical post-processing improve upon raw GLAMEPS precipitation forecasts? Presentation: EMS Annual Meeting 2011, 12/9/2011-16/9/2011, Berlijn, EMS (int.). Abstract (html) | | | Schmeits, M.J. and C.J. Kok, Waterschapsalertsysteem Presentation: Bezoek waterschap Peel en Maasvallei, 28/6/2011, De Bilt, KNMI. | |
| Gastel, V.A. van, R.A. Roebeling and M.J. Schmeits, Investigating MSG data as an additional predictor source in the KNMI probabilistic (severe) thunderstorm forecasting system Presentation: EMS Annual Meeting 2011, 12/9/2011-16/9/2011, Berlijn, EMS (int.). Abstract (html) | |
2010
| Bruen, M., P. Krahe, M. Zappa, J. Olsson, B. Vehvilainen, K. Kok and K. Daamen, Visualising flood forecasting uncertainty: some current European EPS platforms - COST731 working group 3 Abstract (html) | | | Schmeits, M.J. and C.J. Kok, A comparison between raw ensemble output, (modified) Bayesian model averaging and extended logistic regression using ECMWF ensemble precipitation reforecasts Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 2 MB) | | | Schmeits, M.J. and C.J. Kok, A comparison between raw ensemble output, Bayesian model averaging and logistic regression using ECMWF ensemble precipitation reforecasts Presentation: 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, 17/1/2010-21/1/2010, Atlanta, USA, American Meteorological Society (AMS) (int.). | | | Zappa, M., K. Beven, M. Bruen, A. Cofino, K. Kok, E. Martin, P. Nurmi, B. Orfila, E. Roulin, A. Seed, K. Schroter, J. Szturc, B. Vehvilainen, U. Germann and A. Rossa, Propagation of uncertainty from observing systems and NWP into hydrological models: COST-731 Working Group 2 Abstract (html) | |
2009
| Kok, K. and D. Vogelezang, Warning system of extreme precipitation for the Dutch water boards Proceedings of the Joint MAP D-PHASE Scientific Meeting - COST731 mid-term seminar. Challenges in hydromeorological forecasting in complex terrain, 19/5/2008-22/5/2008, Andrea Montani et al. (Ed), 2009, Bologna, ARPA-SIM en COST, 22-27. | |
| Carbajal Henken, C.K., M.J. Schmeits, E.L.A. Wolters and R.A. Roebeling, Detection of Cb and TCu clouds using MSG-SEVIRI cloud physical properties and weather radar observations KNMI publication: WR-2009-04, 20/11/2009. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 6 MB) | |
| Slangen, A.B.A. and M.J. Schmeits, Probabilistic forecasts of winter thunderstorms around Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Advances in Science and Research, 2009, 3, 39-43. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 272 KB) | |
2008
| Kok, K., B. Wichers Schreur and D. Vogelezang, Valuing information from mesoscale forecasts Abstract (html) | | | Schmeits, M.J., C.J. Kok, D.H.P. Vogelezang and R.M. van Westrhenen, Probabilistic forecasts of (severe) thunderstorms for the purpose of issuing a weather alarm Presentation: EUMeTrain Convection Training Week, 2/6/2008-5/6/2008, internetconferentie, EUMETSAT (int.). Complete text (pdf: 1 MB) | | | Schmeits, M.J., C.J. Kok, D.H.P. Vogelezang and R.M. van Westrhenen, Probabilistic forecasts of (severe) thunderstorms for the purpose of issuing a weather alarm in the Netherlands Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 2 MB) | | | Vogelezang, D. and K. Kok, Kansen in de weersverwachting Euclides, 2008, 83, 4, 204-207. Complete text (pdf: 1 MB) | |
| Slangen, A. and M.J. Schmeits, Probabilistic forecasts of winter thunderstorms around Schiphol Airport using model output statistics Presentation: 8th Annual meeting of the European Meteorological Society (EMS), 29/9/2008-3/10/2008, Amsterdam, EMS (int.). Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 1,004 KB) | | | Slangen, A., Probabilistic forecasts of winter thunderstorms around Schiphol Airport using Model Output Statistics KNMI publication: TR-300, 26/6/2008, pp55. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 2 MB) | |
| Hove (ed), R. ten and J.B. Wijngaard (ed), Improved Low visibility and Ceiling Forecasts at Schiphol Airport KNMI publication: KDC/2008/0089 - KNMI publication 222, 7/2008. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 4 MB) | |
2007
| Kok, C.J. and D. Vogelezang, Probabilistich approach in comparative verification of high resolution models Presentation: ECMWF, 31/1/2007, Shinfield Park, ECMWF (int.). | | | Schmeits, M.J., C.J. Kok, D.H.P. Vogelezang and R.M. van Westrhenen, Kansverwachtingen voor de (on)weeralarmsituaties van 8 juni en 16 juli j.l. Presentation: Klimaatdiagnostiek bijeenkomst, 17/7/2007, De Bilt, KNMI. Complete text (pdf: 1 MB) | | | Schmeits, M.J., C.J. Kok, D.H.P. Vogelezang and R.M. van Westrhenen, Kansverwachtingen voor onweer ten behoeve van uitgifte Weeralarm (KOUW) KNMI publication: IR-2007-03, 13/4/2007. Complete text (pdf: 1 MB) | | | Schmeits, M.J., C.J. Kok, D.H.P. Vogelezang and R.M. van Westrhenen, Probabilistic 0-12 h forecasts of (severe) thunderstorms for the purpose of issuing a weather alarm In KNMI Biennial scientific report 2005-2006, 2007. Complete text (pdf) | | | Schmeits, M.J., C.J. Kok, D.H.P. Vogelezang and R.M. van Westrhenen, Probabilistic forecasts of (severe) thunderstorms for the purpose of issuing a weather alarm Presentation: IUGG XXIV General Assembly, 2/7/2007-13/7/2007, Perugia, IUGG (int.). Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 910 KB) | |
| Wijngaard, J.B., D.H.P. Vogelezang, J. van Bruggen and N. Maat, Low visibility and ceiling forecasts at Schiphol; Part 1-assessment of the current system KNMI publication: 1/10/2007, pp30. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 4 MB) | |
| Rooy, w.c. de, k. kok, A.B.C. Tijm and D.H.P. Vogelezang, Een ontspoord Hirlam model? Meteorologica, 13, 2006, 4, 7-10. Abstract (html) | | | Schmeits, M.J., C.J. Kok, D.H.P. Vogelezang and R.M. van Westrhenen, Probabilistic 0-12 h forecasts of (severe) thunderstorms in the Netherlands 28th EWGLAM and 13th SRNWP Meetings, 9/10/2006-12/10/2006, 2006, Zurich, EUMETNET/SRNWP. Complete text (pdf: 222 KB) | | | Kok, K., Naar een andere weeralarmsystematiek KNMI Memo WM 05-02, 2005. Complete text (pdf: 187 KB) | | | Schmeits, M.J., C.J. Kok and D.H.P. Vogelezang, Probabilistic forecasting of (severe) thunderstorms in the Netherlands using model output statistics. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 4 MB) | | | Wijngaard, J.B., M. Kok, I. Smits and M. Talsma, Nieuwe statistiek voor extreme neerslag H2O, 2005, 6, 35-37. Complete text (pdf: 176 KB) | | | Kruizinga, S. and K. Kok, Leerzame experimenten met een eenvoudig niet-lineair systeem - Verificatie van ensembleverwachtingen Meteorologica, 2004, 1, 22-25. Complete text (pdf) | | | Rooy, w.c. de and k. kok, A Combined Physical-Statistical Approach for the Downscaling of Model Wind Speed Weather and Forecasting, 2004, 19, 485-495. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 799 KB) | | | Schmeits, M.J., C.J. Kok and D.H.P. Vogelezang, Kansverwachtingen voor (zwaar) onweer met behulp van model output statistics (MOS) Meteorologica, 2004, 13, 2, 17-20. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf) | | | Smits, I., J.B. Wijngaard, R. Versteeg and M. Kok, Statistiek van extreme neerslag in Nederland Other: published, 2004, STOWA rapport 2004-26, 94pp. Complete text (pdf: 7 MB) | | | Wijngaard, J.B. and M. Kok, Nieuwe neerslagstatistiek voor waterbeheerders KNMI-STOWA uitgave, 2004, 18p. Complete text (pdf: 11 MB) | | | Kruizinga, s. and K. Kok, Leerzame experimenten met een eenvoudig niet-lineair systeem - dagelijkse variaties in de foutengroei enensemble verwachtingen Meteorologica, 2003, 12, 4. Complete text (pdf: 121 KB) | | | Kok, K., Springerigheid van modellen als functie van de runfrequentie KNMI Memo WM 02-06, 2002. Complete text (pdf: 5 MB) | | | Kok, C.J., Calibration of EPS derived probabilities KNMI publication: WR-2001-04, ISBN 90-369-2201-1, 2001, pp93. | | | Kok, C.J. and D.H.P. Vogelezang, Statistical postprocessing on EPS Expert meeting on ensemble prediction system - Medium-range forecasts user meeting, 17/6/1999-16/6/2000, 2001, Reading, ECMWF, 57-64. Complete text (pdf: 275 KB) | | | Kok, K., Using probabilities as a means to evaluate high resolution forecasts SRNWP Mesoscale Verification workshop 2001, 23/4/2001-24/4/2001, 2001, De Bilt, 68-72. | | | Kok, C.J., On the behaviour of a few popular verification scores in yes/no forecasting KNMI publication: WR-2000-04, ISBN 90-369-2178-3, 2000, pp73. | | | Kok, K., Samenhang tussen kansen over een periode en die over deelperioden KNMI Memo WM 00-10, 2000. Complete text (pdf: 4 MB) | | | Wijngaard, J.B., C.J. Kok and D. Vogelezang, Introductie van nieuwe temperatuurvergelijkingen in de Korte Termijn Gids KNMI publication: KNMI memorandum WM 98-10, 1998. Abstract (html) | |
| Wijngaard, J.B., Temperatuurvergelijkingen voor de Middellange Termijn Gids - Ontwikkeling en verificatie over 2000 Technical rapport: 2002, KNMI, ISBN 90-369-2113-5, 26p. Abstract (html) | |
| Langeheem, W. van de, J.R.A. Onvlee, G.P. Können, J. Schellekens (red.), J.J. Beersma, T.A. Buishand, R. Jilderda, E. van Meijgaard, S. Tijm and D. Vogelezang (KNMI bijdrage), Projectie van de Elbe-zomerneerslag op de Rijn en de Maas; Onderzoek naar aanleiding van de recente overstromingen in Midden-Europa KNMI publication: PUBL-198, 2002. Technical rapport: 2002, WL, rapport Q3352. Technical rapport: 2002, RIZA, rapport 2002 042. Complete text (pdf) | |
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