EXTREMES IN A CHANGING
CLIMATE
Workshop organised jointly by the CCL/CLIVAR/JCOMM-ETCCDI
and ENSEMBLES-RT5
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 13-16 May 2008
IMPORTANT: PLEASE CONTACT THE AUTHORS BEFORE USING (PART OF) THESE PRESENTATIONS
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Tuesday
13 May: Progress meeting for ETCCDI members
(Room Buys Ballot) |
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08:30 |
Welcome |
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09:00 |
Co-chairs |
Introduction
and review of todays agenda |
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09:20 |
(Chair
WMO/CCL, Meteo-France) |
WMO/CCL perspectives for ET |
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09:40 |
(Director
International CLIVAR Project Office) |
WCRP/CLIVAR perspectives for ET |
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10:00 |
(Environment
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JCOMM
perspectives for ET |
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10:20 |
Coffee
break |
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10:50 |
(Environment
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Climate
indices from marine data (summary) |
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11:20 |
Discussion |
Plans
for ocean and surface marine climate indices |
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WCRP-JSC
recommendations and ET remit |
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12:30 |
Lunch |
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13:30 |
Discussion |
R-software
developments and ET extremes website (Xuebin Zhang) |
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Workshop
series and plans for HadEX2 ( |
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Heat
indices (Blair Trewin) |
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Case
studies on inhomogeneities in time series (Albert Klein Tank) |
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15:00 |
Coffee
break |
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15:30 |
Discussion |
Near
real time updating of indices using SYNOP messages (Albert Klein Tank) |
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Status
of review paper (Xuebin Zhang) |
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Progress
on the other items of the ET work programme (Francis Zwiers) |
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WMO
guidance document (Albert Klein Tank) |
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17:30 |
ET-dinner
in De Bilt |
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Wednesday
14 May: Joint workshop Extremes in a changing climate (Room Buys Ballot) |
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08:30 |
Welcome
and registration |
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09:30 |
(KNMI) |
Opening
and workshop objective |
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09:40 |
(Environment
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ETCCDI:
Analysis of extremes in climate science |
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10:10 |
(KNMI) |
ENSEMBLES:
Modelling of precipitation extremes in a transient Regional Climate Model run
for the |
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10:40 |
Coffee
break |
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11:10 |
(Met
Office) |
Global
changes in extreme daily temperature since 1950 using non-stationary extreme
value analysis |
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11:40 |
(EPFL) |
Statistical
models for spatial extremes |
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12:10 |
Discussion |
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12:30 |
Lunch |
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13:30 |
Frits
Brouwer (KNMI) |
A
welcome from the Director General of KNMI |
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13:40 |
Pierre
Bessemoulin |
Perspective
on the workshop from the WMO/CCL chair |
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13:50 |
(CRU) |
The ENSEMBLES
high-resolution gridded daily observed dataset |
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14:20 |
( |
Towards detecting and attributing changes in extremes |
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14:50 |
(NCAR/BoM) |
Understanding,
attributing and comparing changes in extremes using the CMIP3 multimodel dataset |
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15:20 |
Coffee
break |
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15:45 |
( |
On
the verification and comparison of extreme rainfall indices from
climate models |
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16:15 |
Xuebin Zhang (Environment
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Constraining
future projections for temperature extremes at local scale |
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16:45 |
Discussion |
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17:00 |
Reception
at KNMI |
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Thursday
15 May: Joint workshop Extremes in a changing climate (Room Buys Ballot) |
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09:00 |
Nynke Hofstra ( |
Trends
in extremes in the ENSEMBLES daily gridded observational datasets for |
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09:30 |
Erasmo Buonomo (Met
Office) |
Extreme precipitation from ERA-40 driven ENSEMBLES RCM integrations |
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10:00 |
(ETH-Zrich) |
Extremes
indices in the EU-FP6 project CECILIA |
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10:30 |
Coffee
break |
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11:00 |
Hayley Fowler ( |
Comparing
observed and modelled UK seasonal |
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11:30 |
Geert
Lenderink (KNMI) |
Do
1-h precipitation extremes obey the Clausius-Clapeyron
relation? |
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12:00 |
( |
Assessing
trends in observed and modelled climate extremes over |
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12:30 |
Lunch |
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13:30 |
(ETH-Zrich) |
Daily temperature variability and its role for future changes in summer temperature extremes |
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14:00 |
(EPFL) |
Non-stationarity of the summer extreme temperatures in Neuchatel
during 1901-2006 |
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14:30 |
Geert
Jan van Oldenborgh (KNMI) |
On the extreme temperatures in recent seasons and the inability of current climate models to simulate these |
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15:00 |
(MeteoSwiss) |
The
covariation of windstorm frequency, intensity and
loss over |
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15:30 |
Coffee
break |
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16:00 |
(National
Oceanography Centre) |
Climate
indices from marine data |
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16:30 |
(KNMI) |
Extreme
associated functions: how to link large-scale circulation structures to local extremes? |
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17:00 |
Discussion |
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17:30 |
(KNMI) |
Closure
of joint workshop Extremes in a changing climate |
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Friday 16
May: Progress meeting for ENSEMBLES-WP5.4 members (Room Vening-Meinesz) |
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09:00 |
Adri
Buishand (KNMI) |
Introduction
by WP5.4 leader |
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09:15 |
Presentations |
Progress
reports from WP5.4 partners |
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(NOA) |
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(IWS-STU) |
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(KNMI) |
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10:30 |
Coffee
break |
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11:00 |
Discussion |
RT5
web site, RCM output, etc. |
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12:20 |
Closure |
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12:30 |
Lunch |
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Friday 16
May: Meeting on Issues of scaling
(Room Buys Ballot) |
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09:00 |
( |
Introduction
by meeting organiser |
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09:10 |
Panel
discussion |
The
key issues/problems associated with comparing modelled and observed extremes
(Chair: |
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10:30 |
Coffee
break |
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11:00 |
Open
discussion |
Recommendations
for solutions to scaling issues in preparation for IPCC AR5 |
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12:20 |
Closure |
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Follow-up |
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12:30 |
Lunch |
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