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Dr. R.J. (Reindert) Haarsma
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Peer-reviewed publications
Bellucci, A., R. Haarsma, N. Bellouin, B. Booth, C. Cagnazzo, B. van den Hurk, N. Keenlyside, T. Koenigk, F. Massonnet, S. Materia and M. Weiss, Advancements in decadal climate predictability: the role of non-oceanic drivers
Reviews of Geophysics, 2015, doi:10.1002/2014RG000473.
Abstract (html)  
Rodrigues, R.R., E.J.D. Campos and R.J. Haarsma, The interaction between ENSO and the South Atlantic Subtropical Dipole Mode Abstract (html)  
Sterl, A., A. Bakker, H. van den Brink, R. Haarsma, A. Stepek, I.L. Wijnant and R.C. de Winter, Large-scale winds in the KNMI’14 climate change scenarios
Environmental Research Letters, 2015, 10, 035004, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/3/035004.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 3 MB)
Baatsen, M., R.J. Haarsma, A.J. van Delden and H. de Vries, Severe Autumn Storms in Future Western Europe with a Warmer Atlantic Ocean Abstract (html)  
Bellucci, A., R.J. Haarsma and 17 other co-authors, An assessment of a multi-model ensemble of decadal climate predictions Abstract (html)  
Bintanja, R., C. Severijns, R. Haarsma and W. Hazeleger, The future of Antarctica’s surface winds simulated by a high-resolution global climate model: I. Model description and validation
J. Geophys. Res., 2014, 119, 12, 7136-7159, doi:10.1002/2013JD020847.
Bintanja, R., C. Severijns, R. Haarsma and W. Hazeleger, The future of Antarctica’s surface winds simulated by a high-resolution global climate model: II. Drivers of 21st century changes
J. Geophys. Res., 2014, 119, 12, 7160-7178, doi:10.1002/2013JD020847.
Hurk, B.J.J.M. van den, G.J. van Oldenborgh, G. Lenderink, W. Hazeleger, R. Haarsma and H. de Vries, Drivers of mean climate change around the Netherlands derived from CMIP5
Clim. Dyn., 2014, 42, 1683-1697, doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1707-y.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (html)
Oldenborgh, G.J. van, R.J. Haarsma, H. de Vries and M.R. Allen, Cold extremes in North America vs. mild weather in Europe: the winter 2013/2014 in the context of a warming world
accepted, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2014, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00036.1.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (1)
Weiss, M., P. Miller, B. van den Hurk, T. van Noije, S. Stefanescu, R. Haarsma, L.H. van Ulft, W. Hazeleger, P. Le Sager, B. Smith and G. Schurgers, Contribution of dynamic vegetation phenology to decadal climate predictability
J. Climate, 2014, 27, 8563-8577, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00684.1.
Abstract (html)  
Garcia-Serrano, J., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, R.J. Haarsma and I. Polo, Decadal prediction of the dominant West African monsoon rainfall modes
J. Geophys. Res., 2013, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50465.
Abstract (html)  
Haarsma, R.J., F.M. Selten and G.J. van Oldenborgh, Anthropogenic changes of the thermal and zonal flow structure over Western Europe and Eastern North Atlantic in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 778 KB)
Haarsma, R.J., W. Hazeleger, C. Severijns, H. de Vries, A. Sterl, R. Bintanja, G.J. van Oldenborgh and H.W. van den Brink, More hurricanes to hit Western Europe due to global warming
Geophys. Res. Lett., 2013, doi:10.1002/grl.50360.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 3 MB)
Manola, I., R. J. Haarsma and W. Hazeleger, Drivers of North Atlantic Oscillation Events Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 5 MB)
Vries, H. de, T.J. Woolings, J. Anstey, R.J. Haarsma and W. Hazeleger, Atmospheric blocking and its relation to jet changes in a future climate Abstract (html)  
Haarsma, R.J. and F.M. Selten, Anthropogenic changes in the Walker Circulation and their impact on the extra-tropical planetary wave structure in the Northern Hemisphere Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)
Vries, H. de, R. Haarsma and W. Hazeleger, On future reduction of snowfall in western and central Europe
Clim. Dyn., 2012, 1-12, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1583-x.
Abstract (html)  
Vries, H. de, R.J. Haarsma and W. Hazeleger, Western European cold spells in current and future climate
Geophys. Res. Lett., 2012, doi:10.1029/2011GL050665.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (shtml)
Weijenborg, C., H. de Vries and R.J. Haarsma, On the direction of Rossby wave breaking in blocking Abstract (html)  
Weiss, M., B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, R. Haarsma and W. Hazeleger, Impact of vegetation variability on potential predictability and skill of EC-Earth simulations
Clim. Dyn., 2012, 39, 2733-2746, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1572-0.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 646 KB)
Haarsma, R.J., E.J.D. Campos, S. Drijfhout, W. Hazeleger and C. Severijns, Impacts of interruption of the Agulhas leakage on the tropical Atlantic in coupled ocean-atmosphere simulations
Clim. Dyn., 2011, 36, 5, 989-1003, doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0692-7.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 517 KB)
Rodrigues, R.R., R.J. Haarsma, E.J.D. Campos and T. Ambrizzi, The impacts of inter-El Nino variability on the Tropical Atlantic and Northeast Brazil climate
J. Climate, 2011, 24, 3402-3422, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI3983.1.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 997 KB)
Goosse, H., V. Brovkin, T. Fichefet, R. Haarsma, P. Huybrechts, J. Jongma, A. Mouchet, F. Selten, P.Y. Barriat, J.M. Campin, E. Deleersnijder, E. Driesschaert, H. Goelzer, I. Janssens and S.L. Weber, Description of the Earth system model of intermediate complexity LOVECLIM version 1.2
Geoscientific Model Development, 2010, 3, 603-633, doi:10.5194/gmd-3-603-2010.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 3 MB)
Strengers, B.J., C. Muller, M. Schaeffer, R.J. Haarsma, C. Severijns, D. Gerten, S. Schaphoff, R. van Houdt and R. Oostenrijk, Assessing 20th century climate-vegetation feedbacks of land-use change and natural vegetation dynamics in a fully coupled vegetation-climate model
Int. J. Climatology, 2010, 30, 13, 2055-2065, doi:10.1002/joc.2132.
Abstract (html)  
Taschetto, A.S., R.J. Haarsma, A.S. Gupta, C.C. Ummenhofer, K.J. Hill and M.H. England, Australian monsoon variability driven by a Gill-Matsuno type response to central-west Pacific warming
J. Climate, 2010, 23, 18, 4717-4736.
Haarsma, R.J., F.M. Selten, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, W. Hazeleger and X. Wang, Drier Mediterranean Soils due to Greenhouse Warming bring easterly Winds over Summertime Central Europe
Geophys. Res. Lett., 2009, 36, L04705, doi:10.1029/2008GL036617.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)
Oldenborgh, G.J. van, S.S. Drijfhout, A. van Ulden, R. Haarsma, A. Sterl, C. Severijns, W. Hazeleger and H. Dijkstra, Western Europe is warming much faster than expected
Climate of the Past, 2009, 5, 1, 1-12, doi:10.5194/cp-5-1-2009.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 1 MB)
Sterl, A., H. van den Brink, H. de Vries, R. Haarsma and E. van Meijgaard, An ensemble study of extreme North Sea storm surges in a changing climate
Ocean Science, 2009, 5, 369-378.
Ocean Science Disc., 2009, 6, 1131-1159.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 1 MB)
Chang, P., R. Zhang, W. Hazeleger, C. Wen, X. Wan, L. Ji, R. Haarsma, W.P. Breugem and H. Seidel, An Oceanic Bridge Between Abrupt Changes in North Atlantic Climate and the African Monsoon
Nature Geoscience, 2008, 1, 444-448, doi:10.1038/ngeo218.
Drijfhout, S.S., W. Hazeleger, F. Selten and R. Haarsma, Future changes in internal Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation variability
Clim. Dyn., 2008, 30, 4, 407-419, doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0297-y.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 1 MB)
Haarsma, R.J., E.J.D. Campos, W. Hazeleger and C.A. Severijns, Influence of the Meridional Overturning Circulation on Tropical Atlantic Climate and Variability
J. Climate, 2008, 21, 1403-1416, doi:10.1175/JCLI1930.1.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 384 KB)
Almeida, R.A.F. de, P. Nobre, R.J. Haarsma and E.J.D. Campos, Negative ocean-atmosphere feedback in the South Atlantic Convergence Zone
Geophys. Res. Lett., 2007, 34, doi:10.1029/2007GL030401..
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 285 KB)
Breugem, W.P., W. Hazeleger and R.J. Haarsma, Mechanisms of northern tropical Atlantic variability and response to CO2 doubling
J. Climate, 2007, 20, 11, 2691-2705, doi:10.1175/JCLI4137.1.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 845 KB)
Haarsma, R.J. and W. Hazeleger, Extra-tropical atmospheric response to equatorial Atlantic cold tongue anomalies
J. Climate, 2007, 20, 10, 2076-2091.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 473 KB)
Taminiau, C. and R.J. Haarsma, Projected changes in precipitation and the occurrence of severe rainfall deficits in Central Australia caused by glopbal warming
Austr. Meteor. Mag., 2007, 56, 167-175.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 4 MB)
Breugem, W.P., W. Hazeleger and R.J. Haarsma, Multimodel study of tropical Atlantic variability and change
Geophys. Res. Lett., 2006, 33, doi:10.1029/2006GL027831.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 463 KB)
Haarsma, R.J., E.J. Campos, W. Hazeleger, C. Severijns, A.R. Piola and F. Molteni, Dominant modes of variability in the South Atlantic: A study with a hierarchy of ocean-atmosphere models
J. Climate, 2005, 18, 11, 1719-1735.
Complete text (pdf: 874 KB)
Haarsma, R.J., F.M. Selten, S.L. Weber and M. Kliphuis, Sahel rainfall variability and response to greenhouse warming
Geophys. Res. Lett., 2005, 32, doi:10.1029/2005GL023232.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 226 KB)
Hazeleger, W. and R.J. Haarsma, Sensitivity of tropical Atlantic climate to mixing in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model
Clim. Dyn., 2005, 25, 4, 387-399, doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0047-y.
Goosse, H., F.M. Selten, R.J. Haarsma and J.D. Opsteegh, Large sea-ice volume anomalies simulated in a coupled climate model.
Clim. Dyn., 2003, 20, 5, 523-536, doi:10.1007/s00382-002-0290-4.
Abstract (html)  
Haarsma, R.J., E.J. Campos and F. Molteni, Atmospheric response to South Atlantic SST dipole
Geophys. Res. Lett., 2003, doi:10.1029/2003GL017829.
Ronda, R.J., R.J. Haarsma and A.A.M. Holtslag, Representing the atmospheric boundary layer in climate models of intermediate complexity
Goosse, H., F.M. Selten, R.J. Haarsma and J.D. Opsteegh, A mechanism of decadal variability of the sea-ice volume in the Northern Hemisphere
Clim. Dyn., 2002, 19, 1, 61-83, doi:10.1007/s00382-001-0209-5.
Abstract (html)  
Goosse, H., H. Renssen, F.M. Selten, R.J. Haarsma and J.D. Opsteegh, Potential causes of abrupt climate events: A numerical study with a three-dimensional climate model
Geophys. Res. Lett., 2002, 29, 18, doi:10.1029/2002GL014993.
Abstract (html)  
Drijfhout, S.S., A. Kattenberg, R.J. Haarsma and F.M. Selten, The role of the ocean in midlatitude, interannual-to-decadal-timescale climate variability of a coupled model.
J. Climate, 2001, 14, 17, 3617-3630, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<3617:TROTOI>2.0.CO;2.
Complete text (pdf: 314 KB)
Goosse, H., F.M. Selten, R.J. Haarsma and J.D. Opsteegh, Decadal variability in high northern latitudes as simulated by an intermediate complexity climate model
Annals of Glaciology, 2001, 33, 525-532.
Abstract (html)  
Haarsma, R.J., J.D. Opsteegh, F.M. Selten and X. Wang, Rapid transitions and ultra-low frequency behaviour in a 40 kyr integration with a coupled climate model of intermediate complexity
Clim. Dyn., 2001, 17, 559-570.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 774 KB)
Haarsma, R.J., F.M. Selten and J.D. Opsteegh, On the mechanism of the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave
J. Climate, 2000, 13, 1461-1480.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)
Drijfhout, S.S., R.J. Haarsma, J.D. Opsteegh and F.M. Selten, Solar-induced versus internal variability in a coupled climate model.
Geophys. Res. Lett., 1999, 26, 2, 205-208, doi:10.1029/1998GL900277.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 442 KB)
Lenderink, G. and R.J. Haarsma, On the mechanism of decadal oscillations in a coarse resolution ocean model
Atmosphere-Ocean, 1999, 37, 179-202.
Abstract (html)  
Selten, F.M., R.J. Haarsma and J.D. Opsteegh, On the Mechanism of North Atlantic Decadal Variability
J. Climate, 1999, 12, 1956-1973.
Abstract (html)  
Lenderink, G. and R.J. Haarsma, Modeling convective transistions in the presence of sea-ice
J. Phys. Oceanogr., 1996, 26, 1448-1467.
Abstract (html)  
Lenderink, G. and R.J. Haarsma, Variability and Multiple Equilibria of the Thermohaline Circulation Associated with Deep-Water Formation
J. Phys. Oceanogr., 1994, 24, 1480-1493.
Abstract (html)  
Haarsma, R.J., J.F.B. Mitchell and C.A. Senior, Tropical disturbances in a GCM
Clim. Dyn., 1993, 8, 247-257.
Abstract (html)  
Haarsma, R.J. and J.D. Opsteegh, Bifurcations in a low-order model with self-interaction
Tellus, 1991, 43A, 266-276.
Abstract (html)  
Haarsma, R.J. and J.D. Opsteegh, Nonlinear response to anomalous tropical forcing
J. Atmos. Sci., 1989, 46, 3240-3255.
Abstract (html)  
Haarsma, R.J. and J.D. Opsteegh, Barotropic instability of planetary-Scale flows
J. Atmos. Sci., 1988, 45, 2789-3016.