Department:	Climate Research & Seismology, Oceanographic Research
Function:	Senior Researcher
Address:	P.O. Box 201, 3730 AE De Bilt, The Netherlands
Telephone:	+31 30 2206711 (direct) +31 30 2206394 (secretary)
Telefax:	+31 30 2202570
Email:
Web:	www.knmi.nl/~oldenbor (private: www.xs4all.nl/~gjvo)
Google Earth:	here

News
12-mar-2010	Most february 2010 data is now available.
12-mar-2010	Due to a full disk the Climate Eplorer did not work correctly from 15:30 to 17:30 MET.
10-mar-2010	Added the HadCRUH humidity field (thanks Patrick).
more...

• The climate of the Netherlands in relationship to global warming.
• El Niño in a changing climate
• Predictability of extreme weather in monthly, seasonal and climate forecasts
• Verification of El Niño and seasonal forecasts (ENSEMBLES)
• Decadal predictability (THOR)

A tool I developed for these projects is the KNMI Climate Explorer, which allows anyone to correlate station data, climate indices, observations, reanalysis fields, past seasonal forecasts and climate change experiments.

Due to a bug in the publication database the list may be empty, please reload the page in that case.

Oldenborgh, G.J. van, P. Yiou and R. Vautard, On the roles of circulation and aerosols in the decline of mist and dense fog in Europe over the last 30 years submitted, Atm. Chem. Phys., 2009. Atm. Chem. Phys. Disc., 2009, 9, 23987-24027, sref:www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/9/23987/2009/. Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf)

Philip, S.Y., M. Collins, G.J. van Oldenborgh and B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, The role of atmosphere and ocean physical processes in ENSO submitted, Ocean Science, 2009. Ocean Science Disc., 2009, 6, 2037-2083, sref:www.ocean-sci-discuss.net/6/2037/2009/. Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)

Shongwe, M.E., G.J. van Oldenborgh, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk and M.A. van Aalst, Projected changes in extreme precipitation in Africa under global warming, Part II: East Africa submitted, J. Climate, 2008. Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf)

Guilyardi, E., A. Wittenberg, A. Fedorov, M. Collins, C. Wang, A. Capotondi and G.J. van Oldenborgh, Understanding El Niño in Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Models: progress and challenges Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2009, 90, 325-340, doi:10.1175/2008BAMS2387.1. Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)

Oldenborgh, G.J. van, L.A. te Raa, H.A. Dijkstra and S.Y. Philip, Frequency- or amplitude-dependent effects of the Atlantic meridional overturning on the tropical Pacific Ocean Ocean Science, 2009, 5, 293-301, sref:1812-0822/osd/2009-6-477. Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 3 MB)

Oldenborgh, G.J. van, S.S. Drijfhout, A. van Ulden, R. Haarsma, A. Sterl, C. Severijns, W. Hazeleger and H. Dijkstra, Western Europe is warming much faster than expected Climate of the Past, 2009, 5, 1, 1-12. Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 1 MB)

Philip, S.Y. and G.J. van Oldenborgh, Atmospheric properties and the ENSO cycle: models versus observations Clim. Dyn., 2009, doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0579-7. Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)

Philip, S.Y. and G.J. van Oldenborgh, Significant atmospheric nonlinearities in the ENSO cycle J. Climate, 2009, 22, 14, 4014-4028, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI2716.1. Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 705 KB)

Shongwe, M.E., R.G. Graversen, G.J. van Oldenborgh, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk and F.J. Doblas-Reyes, Energy budget of the extreme Autumn 2006 in Europe Clim. Dyn., 2009, doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0689-2. Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf)

Shongwe, M.E., G.J. van Oldenborgh, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, B. de Boer, C.A.S. Coelho and M.K. van Aalst, Projected changes in extreme precipitation in Africa under global warming. Part 1: Southern Africa J. Climate, 2009, 22, 3819-3837, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI2317.1. Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf)

Vautard, R., P. Yiou and G.J. van Oldenborgh, The decline of fog, mist and haze in Europe during the last 30 years: a warming amplifier? Nature Geoscience, 2009, 2, 115-119, doi:10.1038/NGEO414. Abstract (html)

Katsman, C.A., W. Hazeleger, S.S. Drijfhout, G.J. van Oldenborgh and G.J.H. Burgers, Climate scenarios of sea level rise for the northeast Atlantic Ocean: a study including the effects of ocean dynamics and gravity changes induced by ice melt Climatic Change, 2008, doi:10.1007/s10584-008-9442-9. Complete text (pdf: 395 KB)

Sterl, A., C. Severijns, H. Dijkstra, W. Hazeleger, G.J. van Oldenborgh, M. van den Broeke, G. Burgers, B. van den Hurk, P.J. van Leeuwen and P. van Velthoven, When can we expect extremely high surface temperatures? Geophys. Res. Lett., 2008, 35, 14, L14703, doi:10.1029/2008GL034071. Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 1 MB)

Hurk, B.J.J.M. van den, A.M.G. Klein Tank, G. Lenderink, A. van Ulden, G.J. van Oldenborgh, C. Katsman, H. van den Brink, F. Keller, J. Bessembinder, G. Burgers, G. Komen, W. Hazeleger and S. Drijfhout, New climate change scenarios for the Netherlands Water Science and Technology, 2007, 56, 4, 27-33, doi:10.2166/wst.2007.533. Abstract (html)

Oldenborgh, G.J. van, How unusual was autumn 2006 in Europe? Climate of the Past, 2007, 3, 659-668, sref:1814-9332/cp/2007-3-659. Climate of the Past Disc., 2007, 3, 811-837, sref:1814-9359/cpd/2007-3-811. Abstract (html)  Complete text (html)

Shongwe, M.E., C.A.T. Ferro, C.A.S. Coelho and G.J. van Oldenborgh, Predictability of cold spring seasons in Europe Mon. Wea. Rev., 2007, 135, 4185-4201, doi:10.1175/2007MWR2094.1. Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 3 MB)

Sterl, A., G.J. van Oldenborgh, W. Hazeleger and G. Burgers, On the robustness of ENSO teleconnections Clim. Dyn., 2007, 29, 469-485, doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0251-z. Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 6 MB)

All journal publications