Frank Selten @ KNMI

Research

Dr. Ir. F.M. (Frank) Selten

Personal homepage

Peer-reviewed publications

Haarsma, R.J. and F.M. Selten, Anthropogenic changes in the Walker Circulation and their impact on the extra-tropical planetary wave structure in the Northern Hemisphere Clim. Dyn., 2012, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1308-1. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)

Berge, L.A. van den, F.M. Selten, W. Wiegerinck and G.S. Duane, A multi-model ensemble method that combines imperfect models through learning Earth System Dynamics, 2011, 2, 161-177, doi:10.5194/esd-2-161-2011. Abstract (html)

Kew, S.F., F.M. Selten, G. Lenderink and W. Hazeleger, Robust assessment of future changes in extreme precipitation over the Rhine basin using a GCM Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2011, 15, 1157-1166, doi:10.5194/hess-15-1157-2011. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf)

Levine-Moolenaar, H.E., F.M. Selten and J. Grasman, Effect of parameter changes upon the eztra-tropical atmospheric variability Clim. Dyn., 2011, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1207-x. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)

Goosse, H., V. Brovkin, T. Fichefet, R. Haarsma, P. Huybrechts, J. Jongma, A. Mouchet, F. Selten, P.Y. Barriat, J.M. Campin, E. Deleersnijder, E. Driesschaert, H. Goelzer, I. Janssens and S.L. Weber, Description of the Earth system model of intermediate complexity LOVECLIM version 1.2 Geoscientific Model Development, 2010, 3, 603-633, doi:10.5194/gmd-3-603-2010. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 3 MB)

Hazeleger, W., C. Severijns, T. Semmler, S. Stefanescu, S. Yang, X. Wang, K. Wyser, E. Dutra, R. Bintanja, B. van den Hurk, T. van Noije, F. Selten, A. Sterl and co-authors, EC-Earth: A Seamless Earth-System Prediction Approach in Action Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2010, 91, 1357-1363, doi:10.1175/2010BAMS2877.1. Complete text (pdf: 296 KB)

Kew, S.F., F.M. Selten, G. Lenderink and W. Hazeleger, Robust assessment of future changes in extreme precipitation over the Rhine basin using a GCM Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, D, 2010, 7, 9043-9066, doi:10.5194/hessd-7-9043-2010. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf)

Pasmanter, R.A. and F.M. Selten, Decomposing data sets into skewness modes Physica D, 2010, 239, 16, 1503-1508, doi:10.1016/j.physd.2010.01.024. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 540 KB)

Branstator, G. and F.M. Selten, Modes of variability and climate change J. Climate, 2009, 22, 2639-2658, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2517.1. Abstract (html)

Haarsma, R.J., F.M. Selten, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, W. Hazeleger and X. Wang, Drier Mediterranean Soils due to Greenhouse Warming bring easterly Winds over Summertime Central Europe Geophys. Res. Lett., 2009, 36, L04705, doi:10.1029/2008GL036617. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)

Lenderink, G., E. van Meijgaard and F. Selten, Intense coastal rainfall in the Netherlands in response to high sea surface temperatures: analysis of the event of August 2006 from the perspective of a changing climate. Clim. Dyn., 2009, 32, 19-33, doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0366-x. Abstract (html)

Selten, F.M. and R.A. Pasmanter, Skewness modes in Northern Hemisphere winter J. Climate, 2009. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 8 MB)

Drijfhout, S.S., W. Hazeleger, F. Selten and R. Haarsma, Future changes in internal Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation variability Clim. Dyn., 2008, 30, 4, 407-419, doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0297-y. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 1 MB)

Moolenaar, H.E., J. Grasman, F.M. Selten and M. de Gee, Testing a method for analyzing the effect of parameter change in climate driven ecological systems Boreal Environment Research, 2007. Abstract (html)

Stone, D.A., M.R. Allen, F.M. Selten, M. Kliphuis and P.A. Stott, The detection and attribution of climate change using an ensemble of opportunity J. Climate, 2007, 20, 504-516. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf)

Haarsma, R.J., F.M. Selten, S.L. Weber and M. Kliphuis, Sahel rainfall variability and response to greenhouse warming Geophys. Res. Lett., 2005, 32, doi:10.1029/2005GL023232. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 226 KB)

Klein Tank, A.M.G., G.P. Können and F.M. Selten, Signals of anthropogenic influence on European warming as seen in the trend patterns of daily temperature variance Int. J. Climatology, 2005, 25, 1-16, doi:10.1002/joc.1087. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 819 KB)

Schaeffer, M., F.M. Selten and J.D. Opsteegh, Shifts of means are not a proxy for changes in extreme winter temperatures in climate projections Clim. Dyn., 2005, 25, 51-63, doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0495-9. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 113 KB)

Moolenaar, H.E. and F.M. Selten, Finding the effective parameter perturbations in atmospheric models: the LORENZ63 model as case study Tellus, 2004, 56A, 47-55. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 1 MB)

Schaeffer, M., F.M. Selten, H. Goosse and J.D. Opsteegh, The influence of ocean convection patterns on high-latitude climate projections J. Climate, 2004, 17, 22, 4316-4329, doi:10.1175/3174.1. Abstract (html)

Selten, F.M. and G. Branstator, Preferred regime transition routes and evidence for an unstable periodic orbit in a baroclinic model J. Atmos. Sci., 2004, 61, 2267-2282. Abstract (html)

Selten, F.M., G. Branstator, M. Kliphuis and H.A. Dijkstra, Tropical origins for recent and future Northern Hemisphere climate change Geophys. Res. Lett., 2004, 31, doi:10.1029/2004GL020739. Abstract (html)

Goosse, H., F.M. Selten, R.J. Haarsma and J.D. Opsteegh, Large sea-ice volume anomalies simulated in a coupled climate model. Clim. Dyn., 2003, 20, 5, 523-536, doi:10.1007/s00382-002-0290-4. Abstract (html)

Goosse, H., F.M. Selten, R.J. Haarsma and J.D. Opsteegh, A mechanism of decadal variability of the sea-ice volume in the Northern Hemisphere Clim. Dyn., 2002, 19, 1, 61-83, doi:10.1007/s00382-001-0209-5. Abstract (html)

Goosse, H., H. Renssen, F.M. Selten, R.J. Haarsma and J.D. Opsteegh, Potential causes of abrupt climate events: A numerical study with a three-dimensional climate model Geophys. Res. Lett., 2002, 29, 18, doi:10.1029/2002GL014993. Abstract (html)

Schaeffer, M., F.M. Selten, J.D. Opsteegh and H. Goosse, Intrinsic limits to predictability of abrupt regional climate change in IPCC SRES scenarios Geophys. Res. Lett., 2002, 29, 16, doi:10.1029/2002GL015254. Abstract (html)

Drijfhout, S.S., A. Kattenberg, R.J. Haarsma and F.M. Selten, The role of the ocean in midlatitude, interannual-to-decadal-timescale climate variability of a coupled model. J. Climate, 2001, 14, 17, 3617-3630, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<3617:TROTOI>2.0.CO;2. Complete text (pdf: 314 KB)

Goosse, H., F.M. Selten, R.J. Haarsma and J.D. Opsteegh, Decadal variability in high northern latitudes as simulated by an intermediate complexity climate model Annals of Glaciology, 2001, 33, 525-532. Abstract (html)

Haarsma, R.J., J.D. Opsteegh, F.M. Selten and X. Wang, Rapid transitions and ultra-low frequency behaviour in a 40 kyr integration with a coupled climate model of intermediate complexity Clim. Dyn., 2001, 17, 559-570. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 774 KB)

Haarsma, R.J., F.M. Selten and J.D. Opsteegh, On the mechanism of the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave J. Climate, 2000, 13, 1461-1480. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 2 MB)

Drijfhout, S.S., R.J. Haarsma, J.D. Opsteegh and F.M. Selten, Solar-induced versus internal variability in a coupled climate model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 1999, 26, 2, 205-208, doi:10.1029/1998GL900277. Abstract (html) Complete text (pdf: 442 KB)

Selten, F.M., R.J. Haarsma and J.D. Opsteegh, On the Mechanism of North Atlantic Decadal Variability J. Climate, 1999, 12, 1956-1973. Abstract (html)

Selten, F.M., A statistical closure of a low-order barotropic model J. Atmos. Sci., 1997, 54, 1086-1093. Abstract (html)

Selten, F.M., Baroclinic empirical orthogonal functions as basis functions in an atmospheric model J. Atmos. Sci., 1997, 54, 2100-2114. Abstract (html)

Selten, F.M., An Efficient Description of the Dynamics of Barotropic Flow J. Atmos. Sci., 1995, 52, 915-936. Abstract (html)

Selten, F.M., Toward an Optimal Description of Atmospheric Flow J. Atmos. Sci., 1993, 50, 861-877. Abstract (html)