-
An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts
Empirical models, designed to predict surface variables over seasons to decades ahead, provide us...
EB Suckling, GJ van Oldenborgh, JM Eden, E Hawkins | Status: published | Journal: Clim. Dyn. | Year: 2016 | doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3255-8
Publication
-
Methods and Model Dependency of Extreme Event Attribution: The 2015 European Drought
Science on the role of anthropogenic influence on extreme weather events, such as heatwaves or dr...
M Hauser, L Gudmndsson, R Orth, A Jézéquel, K Haustein, R Vautard, GJ van Oldenborgh, L Wilcox, SI Seneviratne | Status: published | Journal: Earths Future | Volume: 5 | Year: 2017 | First page: 1034 | Last page: 1043 | doi: 10.1002/2017EF000612
Publication
-
A Multimethod Attribution Analysis of the Prolonged Northeast Brazil Hydrometeorological Drought (2012–16)
Northeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2016 due to a five-year drought. Using m...
ESPR Martins, CAS Coelho, R Haarsma, FEL Otto, AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh, SF Kew, SY Philip, FC Vasconceles Junior, H Cullen | Status: published | Journal: Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | Volume: 99 | Year: 2018 | First page: S65 | Last page: S69 | doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0102.1
Publication
-
Multiple perspectives on the attribution of the extreme European summer of 2012 to climate change
Summer 2012 was very wet in northern Europe, and unusually dry and hot in southern Europe. We use...
LJ Wilcox, P Yiou, FC Lott, GJ van Oldenborgh, I Colfescu, B Dong, G Hegerl, L Shaffrey, R Sutton | Status: published | Journal: Clim. Dyn. | Volume: 50 | Year: 2018 | First page: 3537 | Last page: 3555 | doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3822-7
Publication
-
Was the Cold European Winter of 2009/10 Modified by Anthropogenic Climate Change? An Attribution Study
An attribution study has been performed to investigate the degree to which the unusually cold Eur...
B Christensen, C Alvarez-Castro, N Christidis, A Ciavarella, I Colfescu, T Cowan, J Eden, M Hauser, N Hempelmann, K Klehmet, F Lott, C Nangini, GJ van Oldenborgh, R Orth, P Stott | Status: published | Journal: J. Climate | Volume: 31 | Year: 2018 | First page: 3387 | Last page: 3410 | doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0589.1
Publication
