Publications

Scientific publications from the department of Weather & Climate Models

  1. Hoe extreem was de droogte van 2018?

    In H2O Augustus 2019 Te downloaden/bekijken via: https://www.h2owaternetwerk.nl/vakartikele...

    Nienke Kramer (Deltares), Marjolein Mens (Deltares), Jules Beersma (KNMI), Neeltje Kielen (RWS) | 2019
  2. Novel multivariate quantile mapping methods for ensemble post-processing of medium-range forecasts

    Statistical post-processing is an indispensable tool for providing accurate weather forecasts and...

    Kirien Whan, Jakob Zscheischler, Alexander I.Jordan, Johanna F. Ziegel | Weather and Climate Extremes | 2021 | 32
  3. Statistical Postprocessing for Weather Forecasts: Review, Challenges, and Avenues in a Big Data World

    Statistical postprocessing techniques are nowadays key components of the forecasting suites in ma...

    Vannitsem, S., Bremnes, J. B., Demaeyer, J., Evans, G. R., Flowerdew, J., Hemri, S., Lerch, S., Roberts, N., Theis, S., Atencia, A., Ben Bouallègue, Z., Bhend, J., Dabernig, M., De Cruz, L., Hieta, L., Mestre, O., Moret, L., Plenković, I. O., Schmeits, M., Taillardat, M., Van den Bergh, J., Van Schaeybroeck, B., Whan, K., and Ylhaisi, J. | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | 2021 | 102
  4. Calibration of ECMWF Seasonal Ensemble Precipitation Reforecasts in Java (Indonesia) Using Bias-Corrected Precipitation and Climate Indices

    The seasonal precipitation forecast is one of the essential inputs for economic and agricultural ...

    Ratri, D. N., Whan, K., and Schmeits, M. | Weather and Forecasting | 2021 | 36
  5. Prolonged Siberian heat of 2020 almost impossible without human influence

    Over the first half of 2020, Siberia experienced the warmest period from January to June since re...

    Andrew Ciavarella, Daniel Cotterill, Peter Stott, Sarah Kew, Sjoukje Philip, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Amalie Skålevåg, Philip Lorenz, Yoann Robin, Friederike Otto, Mathias Hauser, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Flavio Lehner and Olga Zolina | Climatoc Change | 2021 | 166
  6. Statistical Postprocessing of Wind Speed Forecasts Using Convolutional Neural Networks

    Current statistical postprocessing methods for probabilistic weather forecasting are not capable ...

    Veldkamp, S., Whan, K., Dirksen, S., and Schmeits, M. | Monthly Weather Review | 2021 | 149
  7. Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change

    Disastrous bushfires during the last months of 2019 and January 2020 affected Australia, raising ...

    Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Folmer Krikken, Sophie Lewis, Nicholas J. Leach, Flavio Lehner, Kate R. Saunders, Michiel van Weele, Karsten Haustein, Sihan Li, David Wallom, Sarah Sparrow, Julie Arrighi, Roop K. Singh, Maarten K. van Aalst3, Sjoukje Y. Philip, Robert Vautard, and Friederike E. L. Otto | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2021 | 21
  8. Arctic decadal variability in a warming world

    Natural decadal variability of surface air temperature might obscure Arctic temperature trends in...

    Eveline C van der Linden, Richard Bintanja, Wilco Hazeleger | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres | 2017 | 122
  9. Differences between Arctic interannual and decadal variability across climate states

    Long-term climate variations have the potential to amplify or dampen (human-induced) trends in te...

    Jesse Reusen, Eveline van der Linden, Richard Bintanja | Journal of Climate | 2019 | 32
  10. Oceanic heat transport into the Arctic under high and low CO2 forcing

    Enhanced ocean heat transport into the Arctic is linked to stronger future Arctic warming and pol...

    Eveline C van der Linden, Dewi Le Bars, Richard Bintanja, Wilco Hazeleger | Climate Dynamics | 2019 | 53
  11. Anomalous moisture sources of the Rhine basin during the extremely dry summers of 2003 and 2018

    Droughts can be studied from an atmospheric perspective by analysing large-scale dynamics and the...

    Imme Benedict, Chiel C van Heerwaarden, Eveline C van der Linden, Albrecht H Weerts, Wilco Hazeleger | Weather and Climate Extremes | 2021 | 31
  12. KNMI'14-klimaatscenario's voor Nederland (brochure)

    De KNMI’14-klimaatscenario’s vertalen de onderzoeksresul-taten voor het wereldwijde klimaat uit h...

    Albert Klein Tank, Jules Beersma, Janette Bessembinder, Bart van den Hurk en Geert Lenderink | --2015 | pp36
  13. Emergent constraints highlight biases in aerosol models over biomass burning regions

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    Q Zhong, N Schutgens, G van der Werf, T van Noije, P Le Sager, et al. | - | 2021
  14. The impact of air quality control efforts on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

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    T Hassan, RJ Allen, W Liu, S Shim, T van Noije, P Le Sager, N Oshima, M Deushi, CA Randles, FM O’Connor | - | 2021
  15. Climate change penalty and benefit on surface ozone: A global perspective based on CMIP6 Earth System Models

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    P Zanis, D Akritidis, S Turnock, V Naik, S Szopa, AΚ Georgoulias, SE Bauer, M Deushi, LW Horowitz, J Keeble, P Le Sager, FM O'Connor, N Oshima, K Tsigaridis, T van Noije | Environ. Res. Lett. | 2021
  16. KNMI'14-klimaatscenario's voor Nederland (folder)

    Dit is de folder (4pp) met samenvatting van de brochure (36 pp) KNMI'14-klimaatscenario's Het ...

    KNMI | 2015
  17. Multiphase processes in the EC-Earth Earth System model and their relevance to the atmospheric oxalate, sulfate, and iron cycles

    Understanding how multiphase processes affect the iron-containing aerosol cycle is key to predict...

    S Myriokefalitakis, E Bergas-Massó, M Gonçalves-Ageitos, C Pérez García-Pando., T van Noije, P Le Sager, A Ito, E Athanasopoulou, A Nenes, M Kanakidou, MC Krol, E Gerasopoulos | Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss. | 2021
  18. Radiative effects of reduced aerosol emissions during the COVID-19 pandemic and the future recovery

    The pandemic in 2020 caused an abrupt change in the emission of anthropogenic aerosols and their ...

    S Fiedler, K Wyser, J Rogelj, T van Noije | Atmos. Res. | 2021 | 264
  19. Description and Evaluation of a Secondary Organic Aerosol and New Particle Formation Scheme within TM5-MP v1.1

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    T Bergman, R Makkonen, R Schrödner, E Swietlicki, VTJ Phillips, P Le Sager, T van Noije | submitted | Geosci. Model Dev. | 2022
  20. Aerosol absorption in global models from AeroCom Phase III

    Aerosol-induced absorption of shortwave radiation can modify the climate through local atmospheri...

    M Sand, BH Samset, G Myhre, J Gliß, SE Bauer, H Bian, M Chin, R Checa-Garcia, P Ginoux, Z Kipling, A Kirkevåg, H Kokkola, P Le Sager, MT Lund, H Matsui, T van Noije, DJL Olivié, S Remy, M Schulz, P Stier, CW Stjern, T Takemura, K Tsigaridis, SG Tsyro, D Watson-Parris | submitted | Atmos. Chem. Phys. | 2021 | 21
  21. The EC-Earth3 Earth System Model for the Climate Model Intercomparison Project 6

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    R Döscher, M Acosta, A Alessandri, P Anthoni, A Arneth, T Arsouze, T Bergman, R Bernadello, S Boussetta, L-P Caron, G Carver, M Castrillo, F Catalano, I Cvijanovic, P Davini, E Dekker, FJ Doblas-Reyes, D Docquier, P Echevarria, U Fladrich, R Fuentes-Franco, M, Gröger, J v. Hardenberg, J Hieronymus, MP Karami, J-P Keskinen, T Koenigk, R Makkonen, F Massonnet, M Ménégoz, PA Miller, E, Moreno-Chamarro, L Nieradzik, T van Noije, P Nolan, D O’Donnell, P Ollinaho, G van den Oord, P Ortega, OT Prims, A Ramos, T Reerink, C Rousset, Y Ruprich-Robert, P Le Sager, T Schmith, R Schrödner, F Serva, V Sicardi, M Sloth Madsen, B Smith, T Tian, E Tourigny, P Uotila, M Vancoppenolle, S Wang, D Wårlind, U Willén, K Wyser, S Yang, X Yepes-Arbós, Q Zhang | submitted | Geosci. Model Dev. | 2022
  22. EC-Earth3-AerChem: a global climate model with interactive aerosols and atmospheric chemistry participating in CMIP6

    This paper documents the global climate model EC-Earth3-AerChem, one of the members of the EC-Ear...

    T van Noije, T Bergman, P Le Sager, D O'Donnell, R Makkonen, M Gonçalves-Ageitos, R Döscher, U Fladrich, J von Hardenberg, J-P Keskinen, H Korhonen, A Laakso, S Myriokefalitakis, P Ollinaho, C Pérez García-Pando, T Reerink, R Schrödner, K Wyser, K., S Yang | submitted | Geosci. Model Dev. | 2021 | 14
  23. The climate response to emissions reductions due to COVID-19: Initial results from CovidMIP

    Many nations responded to the corona virus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic by restricting travel...

    CD Jones, JE Hickman, ST Rumbold, J Walton, RD Lamboll, RB Skeie, S Fiedler, PM Forster, J Rogelj, M Abe, M Botzet, K Calvin, C Cassou, JNS Cole, P Davini, M Deushi, M Dix, JC Fyfe, NP Gillett, T Ilyina, M Kawamiya, M Kelley, S Kharin, T Koshiro, H Li, C Mackallah, WA Müller, P Nabat, T van Noije, P Nolan, R Ohgaito, D Olivié, N Oshima, J Parodi, TJ Reerink, L Ren, A Romanou, R Séférian, Y Tang, C Timmreck, J Tjiputra, E Tourigny, K Tsigaridis, H Wang, M Wu, K Wyser, S Yang, Y Yang, T Ziehn | published | Geophys. Res. Lett. | 2021 | 48
  24. Evaluation of natural aerosols in CRESCENDO-ESMs: Mineral Dust

    This paper presents an analysis of the mineral dust aerosol modelled by five Earth system models ...

    R Checa-Garcia, Y Balkanski, S Albani, T Bergman, K Carslaw, A Cozic, C Dearden, B Marticorena, M Michou, T van Noije, P Nabat, FM O'Connor, D Olivié, JM Prospero, P Le Sager, M Schulz, C Scott | submitted | Atmos. Chem. Phys. | 2021 | 21
  25. Significant climate benefits from near-term climate forcer mitigation in spite of aerosol reductions

    Near-term climate forcers (NTCFs), including aerosols and chemically reactive gases such as tropo...

    RJ Allen, LW Horowitz, V Naik, N Oshima, FM O'Connor, S Turnock, S Shim, P Le Sager, T van Noije, K Tsigaridis, SE Bauer, LT Sentman, JG John, C Broderick, M Deushi, GA Folberth, S Fujimori and WJ Collins | published | Environ. Res. Lett. | 2021 | 16