Publications

Scientific publications from the department of Weather & Climate Models

  1. KNMI'14 Climatescenarios for the Netherlands (brochure)

    KNMI presents the KNMI’14 climate scenarios: four new scenarios for future climate change in the...

    Albert Klein Tank, Jules Beersma, Janette Bessembinder, Bart van den Hurk and Geert Lenderink | --2015 | pp36
  2. KNMI'14 Climatescenarios for the Netherlands (leaflet)

    Leaflet (2 page summary) of the KNMI'14 Climatescenarios for the Netherlands 

    KNMI | --2014 | pp2
  3. Climate change in the Netherlands. Supplements to the KNMI’06 scenarios 2009

    The general scenarios for future climate change in the Netherlands, which KNMI issued in 2006, ar...

    Albert Klein Tank, Geert Lenderink | --2009 | pp36
  4. OpenIFS/AC: atmospheric chemistry and aerosol in OpenIFS 43r3

    In this paper, we report on the first implementation of atmospheric chemistry and aerosol as part...

    V Huijnen, P Le Sager, MO Köhler, G Carver, S Rémy, J Flemming, S Chabrillat, Q Errera, T van Noije | Geosci. Model Dev. | 2022 | 15
  5. Comparison of particle number size distribution trends in ground measurements and climate models,

    Despite a large number of studies, the effect of aerosols has the largest uncertainty in global c...

    V Leinonen, H Kokkola, T Yli-Juuti, T Mielonen, T. Kühn, T Nieminen, S Heikkinen, T Miinalainen, T Bergman, K Carslaw, S Decesari, M Fiebig, T Hussein, N Kivekäs, M Kulmala, A Leskinen, A Massling, N Mihalopoulos, JP Mulcahy, SM Noe, T van Noije, FM O'Connor, C O'Dowd, D Olivie, JB Pernov, T Petäjä, Ø Seland, M Schulz, CE Scott, H Skov, E Swietlicki, T Tuch, A Wiedensohler, A Virtanen, S Mikkonen | Geosci. Mod. Dev. | 2022 | accepted
  6. What is the surface mass balance of Antarctica? An intercomparison of regional climate model estimates

    We compare the performance of five different regional climate models (RCMs) (COSMO-CLM2, HIRHAM5,...

    Mottram, R., Hansen, N., Kittel, C., van Wessem, J. M., Agosta, C., Amory, C., Boberg, F., van de Berg, W. J., Fettweis, X., Gossart, A., van Lipzig, N. P. M., van Meijgaard, E., Orr, A., Phillips, T., Webster, S., Simonsen, S. B., and Souverijns, N | The Cryosphere | 2021 | 15
  7. Assessment of the European Climate Projections as Simulated by the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional and Global Climate Model Ensemble

    This paper analyzes the ensemble of regional climate model (RCM) projections for Europe completed...

    Erika Coppola, Rita Nogherotto, James M. Ciarlo', Filippo Giorgi, Erik van Meijgaard, Nikolay Kadygrov, Carley Iles, Lola Corre, Marit Sandstad, Samuel Somot, Pierre Nabat, Robert Vautard, Guillaume Levavasseur, Clemens Schwingshackl, Jana Sillmann, Erik Kjellström, Grigory Nikulin, Emma Aalbers, Geert Lenderink, Ole B. Christensen, Fredrik Boberg, Silje Lund Sørland, Marie-Estelle Demory, Katharina Bülow, Claas Teichmann, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi, Volker Wulfmeyer | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres | 2021 | 126
  8. Evaluation of the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional Climate Model Ensemble

    The use of regional climate model (RCM)-based projections for providing regional climate informat...

    Robert Vautard, Nikolay Kadygrov, Carley Iles, Fredrik Boberg, Erasmo Buonomo, Katharina Bülow, Erika Coppola, Lola Corre, Erik van Meijgaard, Rita Nogherotto, Marit Sandstad, Clemens Schwingshackl, Samuel Somot, Emma Aalbers, Ole B. Christensen, James M. Ciarlo, Marie-Estelle Demory, Filippo Giorgi, Daniela Jacob, Richard G. Jones, Klaus Keuler, Erik Kjellström, Geert Lenderink, Guillaume Levavasseur, Grigory Nikulin, Jana Sillmann, Cosimo Solidoro, Silje Lund Sørland, Christian Steger, Claas Teichmann, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi, Volker Wulfmeyer | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres | 2021 | 126
  9. Satellite-based evaluation of AeroCom model bias in biomass burning regions

    Global models are widely used to simulate biomass burning aerosol (BBA). Exhaustive evaluations o...

    Q Zhong, N Schutgens, G van der Werf, T van Noije, K Tsigaridis, SE Bauer, T Mielonen, A Kirkevåg, Ø Seland, H Kokkola, R Checa-Garcia, D Neubauer, Z Kipling, H Matsui, P Ginoux, T Takemura, P Le Sager, S Rémy, H Bian, M Chin, K Zhang, J Zhu, SG Tsyro, G Curci, A Protonotariou, B Johnson, JE Penner, N Bellouin, RB Skeie, G Myhre | Atmos. Chem. Phys. | 2022 | 22
  10. KNMI Klimaatsignaal'21 Hoe het klimaat in Nederland snel verandert

    Het Klimaatsignaal’21 is gebaseerd op de grote hoeveelheid kennis over klimaatverandering die in ...

    Auteurs per hoofdstuk 1: Peter Siegmund, Bernadet Overbeek, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh † en Hylke de Vries. 2: Peter Siegmund, Rein Haarsma, Nadia Bloemendaal en Job Dullaart. 3: Rob van Dorland. 4: Sybren Drijfhout en Dewi Le Bars. 5: Richard Bintanja, Dewi Le Bars, Caitlin Pot en Nomikos Skyllas. 6: Geert Lenderink, Rob Groenland en Alwin Haklander. 7: Karin van der Wiel, Rein Haarsma, Emma Daniels, Gerard van der Schrier en Emma Aalbers. 8: Andreas Sterl, Jules Beersma en Henk van den Brink. 9: Ben Wichers Schreur. Eindredactie Rob van Dorland | --2021 | pp72
  11. Achtergronddocument Deltacommissie: Onderzoek naar bovengrensscenario's voor klimaatverandering voor overstromingsbescherming van Nederland

    Deze wetenschappelijke beoordeling over de bovengrens scenario’s voor klimaatverandering is uitg...

    Pier Vellinga, Caroline Katsman, Andreas Sterl, Jules Beersma | 2008
  12. climate scenarios for impact studies in the Netherlands update WB21

    These scenarios described here are an update from the WB21 [1] scenarios. Originally formulated f...

    G.P. Können | --2001 | pp6
  13. Wetenschappelijk rapport KNMI'06-klimaatscenario's: Climate change scenarios 2006 for the Netherlands

    Climate change scenarios for the Netherlands for temperature, precipitation, potential evaporati...

    Bart van den Hurk, Albert Klein Tank, Geert Lenderink, Aad van Ulden, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Caroline Katsman, Henk van den Brink, Franziska Keller, Janette Bessembinder, Gerrit Burgers, Gerbrand Komen, Wilco Hazeleger and Sybren Drijfhout | --2006 | pp82
  14. Brochure KNMI'06-klimaatscenario's: Klimaat in de 21e eeuw; vier scenario's voor Nederland

    KNMI Klimaatscenario's uit 2006, zijn in 2014 opgevolgd door de KNMI'14-klimaatscenario's. Het...

    KNMI | --2006 | pp16
  15. Advies onafhankelijk wetenschappelijk panel: Advisory Board report

    In het rapport wordt van KNMI’13 scenario’s gesproken. Dit zijn later de KNMI’14-scenario’s gewor...

    Advisory Board KNMI'13-scenario's | --2012 | pp37
  16. Hoe extreem was de droogte van 2018?

    In H2O Augustus 2019 Te downloaden/bekijken via: https://www.h2owaternetwerk.nl/vakartikele...

    Nienke Kramer (Deltares), Marjolein Mens (Deltares), Jules Beersma (KNMI), Neeltje Kielen (RWS) | 2019
  17. Novel multivariate quantile mapping methods for ensemble post-processing of medium-range forecasts

    Statistical post-processing is an indispensable tool for providing accurate weather forecasts and...

    Kirien Whan, Jakob Zscheischler, Alexander I.Jordan, Johanna F. Ziegel | Weather and Climate Extremes | 2021 | 32
  18. Statistical Postprocessing for Weather Forecasts: Review, Challenges, and Avenues in a Big Data World

    Statistical postprocessing techniques are nowadays key components of the forecasting suites in ma...

    Vannitsem, S., Bremnes, J. B., Demaeyer, J., Evans, G. R., Flowerdew, J., Hemri, S., Lerch, S., Roberts, N., Theis, S., Atencia, A., Ben Bouallègue, Z., Bhend, J., Dabernig, M., De Cruz, L., Hieta, L., Mestre, O., Moret, L., Plenković, I. O., Schmeits, M., Taillardat, M., Van den Bergh, J., Van Schaeybroeck, B., Whan, K., and Ylhaisi, J. | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | 2021 | 102
  19. Calibration of ECMWF Seasonal Ensemble Precipitation Reforecasts in Java (Indonesia) Using Bias-Corrected Precipitation and Climate Indices

    The seasonal precipitation forecast is one of the essential inputs for economic and agricultural ...

    Ratri, D. N., Whan, K., and Schmeits, M. | Weather and Forecasting | 2021 | 36
  20. Prolonged Siberian heat of 2020 almost impossible without human influence

    Over the first half of 2020, Siberia experienced the warmest period from January to June since re...

    Andrew Ciavarella, Daniel Cotterill, Peter Stott, Sarah Kew, Sjoukje Philip, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Amalie Skålevåg, Philip Lorenz, Yoann Robin, Friederike Otto, Mathias Hauser, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Flavio Lehner and Olga Zolina | Climatoc Change | 2021 | 166
  21. Statistical Postprocessing of Wind Speed Forecasts Using Convolutional Neural Networks

    Current statistical postprocessing methods for probabilistic weather forecasting are not capable ...

    Veldkamp, S., Whan, K., Dirksen, S., and Schmeits, M. | Monthly Weather Review | 2021 | 149
  22. Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change

    Disastrous bushfires during the last months of 2019 and January 2020 affected Australia, raising ...

    Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Folmer Krikken, Sophie Lewis, Nicholas J. Leach, Flavio Lehner, Kate R. Saunders, Michiel van Weele, Karsten Haustein, Sihan Li, David Wallom, Sarah Sparrow, Julie Arrighi, Roop K. Singh, Maarten K. van Aalst3, Sjoukje Y. Philip, Robert Vautard, and Friederike E. L. Otto | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2021 | 21
  23. Arctic decadal variability in a warming world

    Natural decadal variability of surface air temperature might obscure Arctic temperature trends in...

    Eveline C van der Linden, Richard Bintanja, Wilco Hazeleger | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres | 2017 | 122
  24. Differences between Arctic interannual and decadal variability across climate states

    Long-term climate variations have the potential to amplify or dampen (human-induced) trends in te...

    Jesse Reusen, Eveline van der Linden, Richard Bintanja | Journal of Climate | 2019 | 32
  25. Oceanic heat transport into the Arctic under high and low CO2 forcing

    Enhanced ocean heat transport into the Arctic is linked to stronger future Arctic warming and pol...

    Eveline C van der Linden, Dewi Le Bars, Richard Bintanja, Wilco Hazeleger | Climate Dynamics | 2019 | 53