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Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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Publications

  1. Rapid attribution of the August 2016 flood-inducing extreme precipitation in south Louisiana to climate change

    A stationary low pressure system and elevated levels of precipitable water provided a nearly cont...

    K van der Wiel, SB Kapnick, GJ van Oldenborgh, K Whan, S Philip, GA Vecchi, RK Singh, J Arrighi, H Cullen | published | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2017 | 21
  2. Estimating changes in global temperature since the pre-industrial period

    Better defining (or altogether avoiding) the term ‘pre-industrial’ would aid interpretation of in...

    E Hawkins, P Ortega, E Suxkling, A Schurer, G Hegerl, P Jones, V Masson-Delmonte, J Mignot, P Thorne, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | BAMS | 2017
  3. Have precipitation extremes and annual totals been increasing in the world's dry regions over the last 60 years?

    Daily precipitation extremes and annual totals have increased in large parts of the global land a...

    S Sippel, J Zscheischler, M Heimann, H Lange, MD Mahecha, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, M Reichstein | published | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2017 | 21
  4. U.S. Deep Freeze, December 2016

    There has been speculation that record low temperatures would be coming to the United States this...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, H de Vries, MR Allen | published | Climate Lab Book | 2016
  5. An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts

    Empirical models, designed to predict surface variables over seasons to decades ahead, provide us...

    EB Suckling, GJ van Oldenborgh, JM Eden, E Hawkins | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2016
  6. The attribution question

    Understanding how the overall risks of extreme events are changing in a warming world requires bo...

    FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh, J Eden, PA Stott, DJ Karoly, MR Allen | published | Nature Climate Change | 2016 | 6
  7. The Heavy Precipitation Event of December 2015 in Chennai, India

    Extreme one-day rainfall caused widespread flooding in Chennai, India, in December 2015. No effec...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, K Haustein, K AcutaRao | published | BAMS | 2016 | 97
  8. Tropische dagen in september in Nederland

    GJ van Oldenborgh, SY Philip | published | Meteorologica | 2016
  9. Attribution of human-induced dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in extreme weather events

    We present a new method that allows a separation of the attribution of human influence in extreme...

    R Vautard, P Yiou, FEL Otto, PA Stott, N Christidis, GJ van Oldenborgh, N Schaller | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2016 | 11
  10. How rare were the unusually high temperatures around the North Pole in November–December 2016 and how were they influenced by anthropogenic climate change?

    GJ van Oldenborgh, M Macias-Fauria, AD King, P Uhe, SY Philip, S Kew, D Karoly, FEL Otto, MR Allen, H Cullen | published | website Climate central | 2016
  11. Comparison of methods: Attributing the 2014 record European temperatures to human influences

    The year 2014 broke the record for the warmest yearly average temperature in Europe. Attributing ...

    P Uhe, FEL Otto, K Haustein, GJ van Oldenborgh, AD King, DCH Wallom, MR Allen, H Cullen | published | Geophys. Res. Lett. | 2016 | 43
  12. Climate Change and El Niño Increase Likelihood of Indonesian Heat and Drought

    El Niño and human-induced climate change have substantially increased the likelihood of rainfall ...

    AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh, DJ Karoly | published | BAMS | 2016 | 97
  13. The Role of Anthropogenic Warming in 2015 Central European Heat Waves

    Station-based observations and bias-corrected model simulations show that the frequency of short-...

    S Sippel, FEL Otto, M Flach, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | BAMS | 2016 | 97
  14. Multi-method attribution analysis of extreme precipitation in Boulder, Colorado

    Understanding and attributing the characteristics of extreme events that lead to societal impacts...

    JM Eden, K Wolter, FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2016 | 11
  15. Chennai onder water

    GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, K Haustein, K AchutaRao | published | Meteorologica | 2016
  16. What is going on with India’s weather?

    S Perkins-Kirkpatrick, AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | The Conversation | 2016
  17. Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts

    A succession of storms reaching southern England in the winter of 2013/2014 caused severe floods ...

    N Schaller, A Kay, NR Massey, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, SN Sparrow, R Vautard, P Yiou, I Ashpole, A Bowery, S Crooks, K Haustein, C Huntingford, ..., MR Allen | published | Nature Climate Change | 2016
  18. Het vreemde weer van december 2015

    GJ van Oldenborgh, S Kew, S Philip, P Uhe | published | Meteorologica | 2016
  19. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction

    Preparing for episodes with risks of anomalous weather a month to a year ahead is an important ch...

    JM Eden, GJ van Oldenborgh, E Hawkins, EB Suckling | published | Geoscientific Model Development | 2015 | 8
  20. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction

    Preparing for episodes with risks of anomalous weather a month to a year ahead is an important ch...

    JM Eden, GJ van Oldenborgh, E Hawkins, EB Suckling | published | Geoscientific Model Development | 2015 | 8
  21. Attribution of extreme climate events

    Extreme weather or climate-related events occur in a particular place, by definition, infrequentl...

    PA Stott, N Christidis, FEL Otto, Y Sun, JP Vanderlinden, GJ van Oldenborgh, R Vautard, H von Storch, P Walton, P Yiou, F Zwiers | published | WIRES Climate Change | 2015 | 7
  22. Tales of Future Weather

    W Hazeleger, BJJM van den Hurk, E Min, GJ van Oldenborgh, X Wang, AC Petersen, L Smith, DA Stainforth, E Vasileiadou | published | Nature Climate Change | 2015 | 5
  23. Drivers of the 2013/14 winter floods in the UK

    In their section on 'Weather and climate change drivers', Huntingford et al.1 propose various dri...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, DB Stephenson, A Sterl, R Vautard, P Yiou, SS Drijfhout, H von Storch, H van de Dool | published | Nature Climate Change | 2015 | 5
  24. How Unusual was the Cold Winter of 2013/14 in the Upper Midwest?

    The frigid 2013/14 Midwestern winter was 20–100 times less likely than in the 1880s due to long-t...

    K Wolter, M Hoerling, JK Eischeid, GJ van Oldenborgh, XW Quan, JE Walsh, TN Chase, RM Dole | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2015 | 96
  25. Trends in High-Daily Precipitation Events in Jakarta and the Flooding of January 2014

    The January 2014 floods paralyzed nearly all of Jakarta, Indonesia. The precipitation events that...

    Siswanto, GJ van Oldenborgh, G van der Schrier, G Lenderink, B van den Hurk | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2015 | 96