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Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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Publications

  1. KNMI'23 climate scenarios for the Netherlands: storyline scenarios of regional climate change

    This paper presents the methodology for the construction of the KNMI'23 national climate scenario...

    K van der Wiel, J Beersma, H van den Brink, F Krikken, F Selten, C Severijns, A Sterl, E van Meijgaard, T Reerink, R van Dorland | Earth's Future | 2024 | 12
  2. Compound flood impacts from Hurricane Sandy on New York City in climate-driven storylines

    High impact events like Hurricane Sandy (2012) significantly affect society and decision-making a...

    HMD Goulart, IB Lazaro, L van Garderen, K van der Wiel, D Le Bars, E Koks, B van den Hurk | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2024 | 24
  3. Managing water across the flood–drought spectrum: Experiences from and challenges for the Netherlands

    Recent impactful hydrometeorological events, on both the extreme wet and dry side of the spectrum...

    RP Bartholomeus, K van der Wiel, AF van Loon, MHJ van Huijgevoort, MTH van Vliet, M Mens, S Muurling-van Geffen, N Wanders, W Pot | Cambridge Prisms: Water | 2023 | 1
  4. Impact of Atmospheric Rivers on Future Poleward Moisture Transport and Arctic Climate in EC-Earth2

    Alongside mean increases in poleward moisture transport (PMT) to the Arctic, most climate models ...

    M Kolbe, JPJ Sonnemans, R Bintanja, EC van der Linden,  K van der Wiel, K Whan, I Benedict | Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres | 2023 | 128
  5. The KNMI Large Ensemble Time Slice (KNMI–LENTIS)

    Large-ensemble modelling has become an increasingly popular approach to studying the mean climate...

    L Muntjewerf, R Bintanja, T Reerink, K van der Wiel | Geoscientific Model Development | 2023 | 16
  6. Current and future risk of unprecedented hydrological droughts in Great Britain

    The UK has experienced recurring hydrological droughts in the past and their frequency and severi...

    WCH Chan, NW Arnell, G Darch, K Facer-Childs, TG Shepherd, M Tanguy, K van der Wiel | Journal of Hydrology | 2023 | 625
  7. Large variability in simulated response of vegetation composition and carbon dynamics to variations in drought-heat occurrence

    The frequency of heatwaves, droughts and their co-occurrence vary greatly in simulations of diffe...

    E Tschumi, S Lienert, A Bastos, P Ciais, K Gregor, F Joos, J Knauer, P Papastefanou, A Rahmig, K van der Wiel, K Williams, Y Xu, S Zähle, J Zscheischler | Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 128, pp. e2022JG007332. | 2023 | 128
  8. Increase of simultaneous soybean failures due to climate change

    While soybeans are among the most consumed crops in the world, most of its production lies in the...

    H Goulart, K van der Wiel, C Folberth, E Boere, B van den Hurk | Earth's Future | 2023 | 11
  9. Simulating hydrological extremes for different warming levels–combining large scale climate ensembles with local observation based machine learning models

    Climate change has a large influence on the occurrence of extreme hydrological events. However, r...

    SM Hauswirth, K van der Wiel, MFP Bierkens, V Beijk, N Wanders | Frontiers in Water | 2023 | 5
  10. Large increases of multi-year droughts in north-western Europe in a warmer climate

    Three consecutive dry summers in western Europe (2018–2019–2020) had widespread negative impacts ...

    K van der Wiel, TJ Batelaan, N Wanders | Climate Dynamics | 2023 | 60
  11. A data-driven model for Fennoscandian wildfire danger

    Wildfires are recurrent natural hazards that affect terrestrial ecosystems, the carbon cycle, cli...

    SJ Bakke, N Wanders, K van der Wiel, LM Tallaksen | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2023 | 23
  12. Quantifying the role of the large‑scale circulation on European summer precipitation change

    Regional climate projections indicate that European summer precipitation may change considerably ...

    H de Vries, G Lenderink, K van der Wiel, E van Meijgaard | Climate Dynamics | 2022 | 59
  13. Extreme Events in the European Renewable Power System: Validation of a Modeling Framework to Estimate Renewable Electricity Production and Demand from Meteorological Data

    With the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the coming decades will see a transition of Eur...

    L van der Most, K van der Wiel, RMJ Benders, PW Gerbens-Leenes, P Kerkmans, R Bintanja | Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews | 2022 | 170
  14. Increased wheat price spikes and larger economic inequality with 2°C global warming.

    Climate change poses complex impacts on the global wheat supply and demand chain. The impacts of ...

    T Zhang, K van der Wiel, T Wei, J Screen, X Yue, B Zheng, F Selten, R Bintanja, W Anderson, R Blackport, S Glomsrod, Y Liu, X Cui, X Yang | One Earth | 2022 | 5
  15. Overcoming the disconnect between energy system and climate modelling

    Energy system models underpin decisions by energy system planners and operators. Energy system mo...

    MT Craig, J Wohland, LP Stoop, A Kies, B Pickering, HC Bloomfield, J Browell, M de Felice, CJ Dent, A Deroubaix, F Frischmuth, PLM Gonzalez, A Grochowicz, K Gruber, P Hartel, M Kittel, L Kotzur, I Labuhn, JK Lundquist, N Pflugradt, K van der Wiel, M Zeyringer, DJ Brayshaw | Joule | 2022 | 6
  16. A climate database with varying drought-heat signatures for climate impact modelling

    Extreme climate events, such as droughts and heatwaves, can have large impacts on the environment...

    E Tschumi, S Lienert, K van der Wiel, F Koos, J Zschleischler | Geoscience Data Journal | 2022 | 9
  17. A globally consistent local-scale assessment of future tropical cyclone risk

    There is considerable uncertainty surrounding future changes in tropical cyclone (TC) frequency a...

    N Bloemendaal, H de Moel, AB Martinez, S Muis, ID Haigh, K van der Wiel, RJ Haarsma, PJ Ward, MJ Roberts, JCM Dullaart, JCJH Aerts. | Science advances | 2022 | 8
  18. Modeling and simulating spatial extremes by combining extreme value theory with generative adversarial networks

    Modeling dependencies between climate extremes is important for climate risk assessment, for inst...

    Y Boulaguiem, J Zschleischler, E Vignotto, K van der Wiel, S Engelke | Environmental Data Science | 2022 | 1
  19. The effects of varying drought-heat signatures on terrestrial carbon dynamics and vegetation composition

    The frequency and severity of droughts and heatwaves are projected to increase under global warmi...

    E Tschumi, S Lienert, K van der Wiel, F Koos, J Zschleischler | Biogeosciences | 2022 | 19
  20. Interpreting extreme climate impacts from large ensemble simulations—are they unseen or unrealistic?

    Large-ensemble climate model simulations can provide deeper understanding of the characteristics ...

    T Kelder, N Wanders, K van der Wiel, TI Marjoribanks, LJ Slater, RI Wilby, C Prudhomme | Environmental Research Letters | 2022 | 17
  21. Weather-induced crop failure events under climate change: a storyline approach

    Unfavourable weather is a common cause for crop failures all over the world. Whilst extreme weath...

    H Goulart, K van der Wiel, C Folberth, J Balkovic, B van den Hurk | Earth System Dynamics | 2021 | 12
  22. Guidelines for studying diverse types of compound weather and climate events

    Compound weather and climate events are combinations of climate drivers and/or hazards that contr...

    E Bevacqua, C De Michele, C Manning, A Couasnon, AFS Ribeiro, AM Ramos, E Vignotto, A Bastos, S Blesić, F Durante, J Hillier, SC Oliveira, JG Pinto, E Ragno, P Rivoire, K Saunders,  K van der Wiel, W Wu, T Zhang, J Zscheischler | Earth's Future | 2021 | 9
  23. Physical storylines of future European drought events like 2018 based on ensemble climate modelling

    In the aftermath of observed extreme weather events, questions arise on the role of climate chang...

    K van der Wiel, G Lenderink, H de Vries | Weather and Climate Extremes | 2021 | 33
  24. Intransitive atmosphere dynamics leading to persistent hot-dry or cold-wet European summer

    Persistent hot–dry or cold–wet summer weather can have significant impacts on agriculture, health...

    R Sperna Weiland,  K van der Wiel, F M Selten, D Coumou | Journal of Climate | 2021 | 34
  25. Pathways and pitfalls in extreme event attribution

    The last few years have seen an explosion of interest in extreme event attribution, the science o...

    GJ van Oldenborgh,  K van der Wiel, S Kew, S Philip, F Otto, R Vautard, A King, F Lott, J Arrighi, R Singh, M van Aalst | Climatic Change | 2021 | 166