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The impact of model grid zooming on tracer transport in the 1999/2000 Arctic Polar Vortex
We have used a 3-D chemistry transport model to evaluate the transport of HF and CH4 in the strat...
MMP van den Broek, MK van Aalst, A Bregman, M Krol, J Lelieveld, GC Toon, S Garcelon, GM Hansford, RL Jones, TD Gardiner | Status: published | Journal: Atm. Chem. Phys. | Volume: 3 | Year: 2003 | First page: 1833 | Last page: 1847 | doi: http://www.copernicus.org/EGU/acp/acp/3/1833/acp-3-1833.htm
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A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses
Over the last few years, methods have been developed to answer questions on the effect of global ...
SY Philip, SF Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, R Vautard, K van der Wiel, A King, F Lott, J Arrighi, R Singh, M van Aalst | Status: published | Journal: Adv in Statistical Climat., Meteor. and Ocean. | Volume: 6 | Year: 2020 | First page: 177 | Last page: 203 | doi: 10.5194/ascmo-6-177-2020
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Pathways and pitfalls in extreme event attribution
The last few years have seen an explosion of interest in extreme event attribution, the science o...
GJ van Oldenborgh, K van der Wiel, S Kew, S Philip, F Otto, R Vautard, A King, F Lott, J Arrighi, R Singh, M van Aalst | Journal: Climatic Change | Volume: 166 | Year: 2021 | First page: 13 | doi: 10.1007/s10584-021-03071-7
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Should seasonal forecasts be used for flood preparedness?
Should seasonal forecasts be used for flood preparedness?
Erin Coughlan de Perez, Elisabeth Step...
E Coughlan de Perez, E Stephens, K Bischiniotis, M van Aalst, BJJM van den Hurk, S Mason, H Nissan, F Pappenberger | Status: accepted | Journal: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | Volume: 21 | Year: 2017 | doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4517-2017
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Factors other than climate change, main drivers of 2014/15 water shortage in southeast Brazil
Southeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2014/15. Anthropogenic climate change is...
FEL Otto, CAS Coelho, A King, E Coughlan de Perez, Y Wada, GJ van Oldenborgh, RJ Haarsma, K Haustein, P Uhe, M van Aalst, JA Aravequia, W Almeida, H Cullen | Status: published | Journal: Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | Volume: 96 | Year: 2015 | First page: S35 | Last page: S40 | doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00120.1
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