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A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses
Over the last few years, methods have been developed to answer questions on the effect of global ...
SY Philip, SF Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, R Vautard, K van der Wiel, A King, F Lott, J Arrighi, R Singh, M van Aalst | Status: published | Journal: Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr. | Volume: 6 | Year: 2020 | First page: 177 | Last page: 203 | doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-6-177-2020
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Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences
In 2014, Central England experienced its warmest year in a record extending back to 1659. Using b...
AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh, DJ Karoly, SC Lewis, H Cullen | Status: published | Journal: Environmental Research Letters | Volume: 10 | Year: 2015 | First page: 054002 | doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/054002
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Attribution of human-induced dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in extreme weather events
We present a new method that allows a separation of the attribution of human influence in extreme...
R Vautard, P Yiou, FEL Otto, PA Stott, N Christidis, GJ van Oldenborgh, N Schaller | Status: published | Journal: Environmental Research Letters | Volume: 11 | Year: 2016 | First page: 114009 | doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/114009
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Comparison of methods: Attributing the 2014 record European temperatures to human influences
The year 2014 broke the record for the warmest yearly average temperature in Europe. Attributing ...
P Uhe, FEL Otto, K Haustein, GJ van Oldenborgh, AD King, DCH Wallom, MR Allen, H Cullen | Status: published | Journal: Geophys. Res. Lett. | Volume: 43 | Year: 2016 | First page: 8685 | Last page: 8693 | doi: 10.1002/2016GL069568
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An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts
Empirical models, designed to predict surface variables over seasons to decades ahead, provide us...
EB Suckling, GJ van Oldenborgh, JM Eden, E Hawkins | Status: published | Journal: Clim. Dyn. | Year: 2016 | doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3255-8
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