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Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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Publications

  1. Attributing drivers of the 2016 Kenyan drought

    In 2016 and continuing into 2017, Kenya experienced drought conditions, with over 3 million peopl...

    P Uhe, AY Philip, SF Kew, K Shah, J Kimutai, E Mwangi, GJ van Oldenborgh, R Singh, J Arrighi, E Jjemba, H Cullen, FEL Otto | published | Int. J. Climatology | 2018 | 38
  2. Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe

    A detailed analysis is carried out to assess the HadGEM3-A global atmospheric model skill in simu...

    R Vautard, ..., J Eden, ..., GJ van Oldenborgh, ... | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2018
  3. Western US high June 2015 temperatures and their relation to global warming and soil moisture

    The Western US states Washington (WA), Oregon (OR) and California (CA) experienced extremely high...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, M Hauser, BP Guillod, A Teuling, K Whan, P Uhe, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2018 | 50
  4. Multiple perspectives on the attribution of the extreme European summer of 2012 to climate change

    Summer 2012 was very wet in northern Europe, and unusually dry and hot in southern Europe. We use...

    LJ Wilcox, P Yiou, FC Lott, GJ van Oldenborgh, I Colfescu, B Dong, G Hegerl, L Shaffrey, R Sutton | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2018 | 50
  5. Was the Cold European Winter of 2009/10 Modified by Anthropogenic Climate Change? An Attribution Study

    An attribution study has been performed to investigate the degree to which the unusually cold Eur...

    B Christensen, C Alvarez-Castro, N Christidis, A Ciavarella, I Colfescu, T Cowan, J Eden, M Hauser, N Hempelmann, K Klehmet, F Lott, C Nangini, GJ van Oldenborgh, R Orth, P Stott | published | J. Climate | 2018 | 31
  6. Attribution of Extreme Rainfall Events in the South of France Using EURO‐CORDEX Simulations

    This study investigates how climate change affects the daily extreme precipitation events that oc...

    LN Luu, R Vautard, P Yiou, GJ van Oldenborgh, G Lenderink | published | Geophys. Res. Lett. | 2018 | 45
  7. Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015–2017

    In the period 2015–2017, the Western Cape region has suffered from three consecutive years of bel...

    FEL Otto, P Wolski, F Lehner, C Tebaldi, GJ van Oldenborgh, S Hogesteeger, R Singh, P Holden, NS Fučkar, RC Odoulami | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2018 | 13
  8. Validation of a Rapid Attribution of the May/June 2016 Flood-Inducing Precipitation in France to Climate Change

    The extreme precipitation that resulted in historic flooding in central-northern France began 26 ...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, E Aalbers, R Vautard, FEL Otto, K Haustein, F Habets, R Singh | published | J. Hydrometeor. | 2018 | 19
  9. Extreme precipitation in the Netherlands: An event attribution case study

    Attributing the change in likelihood of extreme weather events, particularly those occurring at s...

    JM Eden, SF Kew, O Belprat, G Lenderink, I Manola, H Omrani, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Weather and Climate Extremes | 2018 | 21
  10. Climate change increases the probability of heavy rains in Northern England/Southern Scotland like those of storm Desmond - a real-time event attribution revisited

    On 4–6 December 2015, storm Desmond caused very heavy rainfall in Northern England and Southern S...

    FEL Otto, K van der Wiel, GJ van Oldenborgh, S Philip, S Kew, P Uhe, H Cullen | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2018 | 13
  11. Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017

    During August 25–30, 2017, Hurricane Harvey stalled over Texas and caused extreme precipitation, ...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, K van der Wiel, A Sebastian, R Singh, J Arrighi, FEL Otto, K Haustein, S Li, G Vecchi, H Cullen | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2017 | 12
  12. Methods and Model Dependency of Extreme Event Attribution: The 2015 European Drought

    Science on the role of anthropogenic influence on extreme weather events, such as heatwaves or dr...

    M Hauser, L Gudmndsson, R Orth, A Jézéquel, K Haustein, R Vautard, GJ van Oldenborgh, L Wilcox, SI Seneviratne | published | Earths Future | 2017 | 5
  13. A very unusual precipitation event associated with the 2015 floods in Jakarta: an analysis of the meteorological factors

    The 2–days precipitation event over Jakarta in February 2015 was very unusual, the highest in the...

    Siswanto, G van der Schrier, GJ van Oldenborgh, BJJ van den, E Aldrian, Y Swarinoto, W Sulistya | published | Weather and Climate Extremes | 2017 | 16
  14. Rapid attribution of the August 2016 flood-inducing extreme precipitation in south Louisiana to climate change

    A stationary low pressure system and elevated levels of precipitable water provided a nearly cont...

    K van der Wiel, SB Kapnick, GJ van Oldenborgh, K Whan, S Philip, GA Vecchi, RK Singh, J Arrighi, H Cullen | published | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2017 | 21
  15. Estimating changes in global temperature since the pre-industrial period

    Better defining (or altogether avoiding) the term ‘pre-industrial’ would aid interpretation of in...

    E Hawkins, P Ortega, E Suxkling, A Schurer, G Hegerl, P Jones, V Masson-Delmonte, J Mignot, P Thorne, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | BAMS | 2017
  16. Have precipitation extremes and annual totals been increasing in the world's dry regions over the last 60 years?

    Daily precipitation extremes and annual totals have increased in large parts of the global land a...

    S Sippel, J Zscheischler, M Heimann, H Lange, MD Mahecha, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, M Reichstein | published | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2017 | 21
  17. U.S. Deep Freeze, December 2016

    There has been speculation that record low temperatures would be coming to the United States this...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, H de Vries, MR Allen | published | Climate Lab Book | 2016
  18. Climate Change and El Niño Increase Likelihood of Indonesian Heat and Drought

    El Niño and human-induced climate change have substantially increased the likelihood of rainfall ...

    AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh, DJ Karoly | published | BAMS | 2016 | 97
  19. How rare were the unusually high temperatures around the North Pole in November–December 2016 and how were they influenced by anthropogenic climate change?

    GJ van Oldenborgh, M Macias-Fauria, AD King, P Uhe, SY Philip, S Kew, D Karoly, FEL Otto, MR Allen, H Cullen | published | website Climate central | 2016
  20. The attribution question

    Understanding how the overall risks of extreme events are changing in a warming world requires bo...

    FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh, J Eden, PA Stott, DJ Karoly, MR Allen | published | Nature Climate Change | 2016 | 6
  21. Attribution of human-induced dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in extreme weather events

    We present a new method that allows a separation of the attribution of human influence in extreme...

    R Vautard, P Yiou, FEL Otto, PA Stott, N Christidis, GJ van Oldenborgh, N Schaller | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2016 | 11
  22. Comparison of methods: Attributing the 2014 record European temperatures to human influences

    The year 2014 broke the record for the warmest yearly average temperature in Europe. Attributing ...

    P Uhe, FEL Otto, K Haustein, GJ van Oldenborgh, AD King, DCH Wallom, MR Allen, H Cullen | published | Geophys. Res. Lett. | 2016 | 43
  23. An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts

    Empirical models, designed to predict surface variables over seasons to decades ahead, provide us...

    EB Suckling, GJ van Oldenborgh, JM Eden, E Hawkins | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2016
  24. The Role of Anthropogenic Warming in 2015 Central European Heat Waves

    Station-based observations and bias-corrected model simulations show that the frequency of short-...

    S Sippel, FEL Otto, M Flach, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | BAMS | 2016 | 97
  25. Multi-method attribution analysis of extreme precipitation in Boulder, Colorado

    Understanding and attributing the characteristics of extreme events that lead to societal impacts...

    JM Eden, K Wolter, FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2016 | 11