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Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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Publications

  1. Comparison of methods: Attributing the 2014 record European temperatures to human influences

    The year 2014 broke the record for the warmest yearly average temperature in Europe. Attributing ...

    P Uhe, FEL Otto, K Haustein, GJ van Oldenborgh, AD King, DCH Wallom, MR Allen, H Cullen | published | Geophys. Res. Lett. | 2016 | 43
  2. Attribution of human-induced dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in extreme weather events

    We present a new method that allows a separation of the attribution of human influence in extreme...

    R Vautard, P Yiou, FEL Otto, PA Stott, N Christidis, GJ van Oldenborgh, N Schaller | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2016 | 11
  3. The attribution question

    Understanding how the overall risks of extreme events are changing in a warming world requires bo...

    FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh, J Eden, PA Stott, DJ Karoly, MR Allen | published | Nature Climate Change | 2016 | 6
  4. How rare were the unusually high temperatures around the North Pole in November–December 2016 and how were they influenced by anthropogenic climate change?

    GJ van Oldenborgh, M Macias-Fauria, AD King, P Uhe, SY Philip, S Kew, D Karoly, FEL Otto, MR Allen, H Cullen | published | website Climate central | 2016
  5. Het vreemde weer van december 2015

    GJ van Oldenborgh, S Kew, S Philip, P Uhe | published | Meteorologica | 2016
  6. Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts

    A succession of storms reaching southern England in the winter of 2013/2014 caused severe floods ...

    N Schaller, A Kay, NR Massey, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, SN Sparrow, R Vautard, P Yiou, I Ashpole, A Bowery, S Crooks, K Haustein, C Huntingford, ..., MR Allen | published | Nature Climate Change | 2016
  7. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction

    Preparing for episodes with risks of anomalous weather a month to a year ahead is an important ch...

    JM Eden, GJ van Oldenborgh, E Hawkins, EB Suckling | published | Geoscientific Model Development | 2015 | 8
  8. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction

    Preparing for episodes with risks of anomalous weather a month to a year ahead is an important ch...

    JM Eden, GJ van Oldenborgh, E Hawkins, EB Suckling | published | Geoscientific Model Development | 2015 | 8
  9. Attribution of extreme climate events

    Extreme weather or climate-related events occur in a particular place, by definition, infrequentl...

    PA Stott, N Christidis, FEL Otto, Y Sun, JP Vanderlinden, GJ van Oldenborgh, R Vautard, H von Storch, P Walton, P Yiou, F Zwiers | published | WIRES Climate Change | 2015 | 7
  10. Tales of Future Weather

    W Hazeleger, BJJM van den Hurk, E Min, GJ van Oldenborgh, X Wang, AC Petersen, L Smith, DA Stainforth, E Vasileiadou | published | Nature Climate Change | 2015 | 5
  11. Extreme droogte in Zuidoost-Azië vanwege El Niño

    Het sterkste effect van de `Zuidelijke Schommeling’ (Southern Oscillation, tegenwoordig beter bek...

    GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Meteorologica | 2015 | 26
  12. Hitte in Europa zomer 2015

    Nederland heeft weer een officiële hittegolf meegemaakt afgelopen zomer. Van 30 juni tot 5 juli w...

    GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Meteorologica | 2015 | 24
  13. Een sterke El Niño in aantocht

    Naar het zich nu laat aanzien komt er een sterke El Niño aan, met de sterkste SST anomalieën tege...

    H van den Dool, LC Chen, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Meteorologica | 2015 | 24
  14. Overstromingen in Malawi en Mozambique

    Midden januari werden Malawi en Mozambique getroffen door hevige regenval die grote problemen ver...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, A Kruczkiewicz, M van Aalst | published | Meteorologica | 2015 | 24
  15. Temperature, extreme precipitation, and diurnal rainfall changes in the urbanized Jakarta city during the past 130 years

    Using a newly available 134-years long record of daily and 114-years hourly observations at Jakar...

    Siswanto, GJ van Oldenborgh, G van der Schrier, R Jilderda, B van den Hurk | published | Int. J. Climatology | 2015
  16. Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences

    In 2014, Central England experienced its warmest year in a record extending back to 1659. Using b...

    AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh, DJ Karoly, SC Lewis, H Cullen | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2015 | 10
  17. Drivers of the 2013/14 winter floods in the UK

    In their section on 'Weather and climate change drivers', Huntingford et al.1 propose various dri...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, DB Stephenson, A Sterl, R Vautard, P Yiou, SS Drijfhout, H von Storch, H van de Dool | published | Nature Climate Change | 2015 | 5
  18. Trends in High-Daily Precipitation Events in Jakarta and the Flooding of January 2014

    The January 2014 floods paralyzed nearly all of Jakarta, Indonesia. The precipitation events that...

    Siswanto, GJ van Oldenborgh, G van der Schrier, G Lenderink, B van den Hurk | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2015 | 96
  19. How Unusual was the Cold Winter of 2013/14 in the Upper Midwest?

    The frigid 2013/14 Midwestern winter was 20–100 times less likely than in the 1880s due to long-t...

    K Wolter, M Hoerling, JK Eischeid, GJ van Oldenborgh, XW Quan, JE Walsh, TN Chase, RM Dole | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2015 | 96
  20. Extreme fall 2014 precipitations in the Cévennes mountain range

    Extreme daily fall precipitation in the Cévennes mountains has very likely intensified. The proba...

    R Vautard, GJ van Oldenborgh, S Thao, B Dubuisson, G Lenderink, A Ribes, JM Soubeyroux, P Yiou, S Planton | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2015 | 96
  21. Factors other than climate change, main drivers of 2014/15 water shortage in southeast Brazil

    Southeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2014/15. Anthropogenic climate change is...

    FEL Otto, CAS Coelho, A King, E Coughlan de Perez, Y Wada, GJ van Oldenborgh, RJ Haarsma, K Haustein, P Uhe, M van Aalst, JA Aravequia, W Almeida, H Cullen | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2015 | 96
  22. Resolution dependence of circulation forced future central European summer drying

    Climate model based projections suggest a drying of the central European summer climate toward th...

    R van Haren, RJ Haarsma, H de Vries, GJ van Oldenborgh, W Hazeleger | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2015 | 10
  23. Resolution Dependence of European Precipitation in a State-of-the-Art Atmospheric General Circulation Model

    In this study, the authors investigate the effect of GCM spatial resolution on modeled precipitat...

    R van Haren, RJ Haarsma, GJ van Oldenborgh, W Hazeleger | published | J. Climate | 2015 | 28
  24. Koude extremen in Nederland de afgelopen winters

    Toen we in 1998 naar Gouda verhuisden vertelde iedereen hoe goed het schaatsen was op de Reeuwijk...

    GJ van Oldenborgh | published | KNMI Kenniscentrum | 2015
  25. The effect of increased freshwater from Antarctic ice shelves on future trends in Antarctic sea ice

    Observations show that, in contrast to the Arctic, the area of Antarctic sea ice has increased si...

    R Bintanja, GJ van Oldenborgh, CA Katsman | published | Annals of Glaciology | 2015 | 56