Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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  1. Formally combining different lines of evidence in extreme-event attribution

    Event attribution methods are increasingly routinely used to assess the role of climate change in...

    Friederike EL Otto, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Robert Vautard | Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography | 2024 | 10
  2. An attribution study of very intense rainfall events in Eastern Northeast Brazil

    Severe floods and landslides in Eastern Northeast Brazil in May 2022 led to severe impacts with h...

    Francisco das Chagas Vasconcelos Junior, Mariam Zachariah, Thiago Luiz do Vale Silva, Edvânia Pereira dos Santos, Caio AS Coelho, Lincoln M Alves, Eduardo Sávio Passos Rodrigues Martins, Alexandre C Köberle, Roop Singh, Maja Vahlberg, Victor Marchezini, Dorothy Heinrich, Lisa Thalheimer, Emmanuel Raju, Gerbrand Koren, Sjoukje Y Philip, Sarah F Kew, Rémy Bonnet, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Jingru Sun, Gabriel Vecchi, Friederike EL Otto | Weather and Climate Extremes | 2024 | 45
  3. Heat extremes linearly shift with global warming, with frequency doubling per decade since 1979

    Heat extremes have been increasing both in frequency and in intensity in most land regions of the...

    Robert Vautard, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Izidine Pinto and Friederieke E L Otto | Environmental Research Letters | 2024 | 19
  4. Climate change increased extreme monsoon rainfall, flooding highly vulnerable communities in Pakistan

    As a direct consequence of extreme monsoon rainfall throughout the summer 2022 season Pakistan ex...

    Friederike EL Otto, Mariam Zachariah, Fahad Saeed, Ayesha Siddiqi, Shahzad Kamil, Haris Mushtaq, T Arulalan, Krishna AchutaRao, ST Chaithra, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Robert Vautard, Gerbrand Koren, Izidine Pinto, Piotr Wolski, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Maarten van Aalst, Lisa Thalheimer, Emmanuel Raju, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Luke J Harrington, Ben Clarke | Environmental Research: Climate | 2023 | 2
  5. Attribution of 2022 early-spring heatwave in India and Pakistan to climate change: lessons in assessing vulnerability and preparedness in reducing impacts

    In March 2022, large parts over the north Indian plains including the breadbasket region, and sou...

    Mariam Zachariah, T Arulalan, Krishna AchutaRao, Fahad Saeed, Roshan Jha, Manish Kumar Dhasmana, Arpita Mondal, Remy Bonnet, Robert Vautard, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Dorothy Heinrich, Lisa Thalheimer, Carolina Pereira Marghidan, Aditi Kapoor, Maarten van Aalst, Emmanuel Raju, Sihan Li, Jingru Sun, Gabriel Vecchi, Wenchang Yang, Mathias Hauser, Dominik L Schumacher, Sonia I Seneviratne, Luke J Harrington, Friederike EL Otto | Environ. Res.: Climate | 2023 | 2
  6. Impact of precipitation and increasing temperatures on drought trends in eastern Africa

    In Eastern Africa droughts can cause crop failure and lead to food insecurity. With increasing te...

    SF Kew, SY Philip, M Hauser, M Hobbins, N Wanders, GJ van Oldenborgh, K van der Wiel, TIE Veldkamp, J Kimutai, C Funk, FEL Otto | published | Earth System Dynamics | 2021 | 12
  7. Human contribution to the record-breaking June and July 2019 heat waves in Western Europe

    Two extreme heatwaves hit Western Europe in the summer of 2019, with historical records broken by...

    R Vautard, MK van Aalst, O Boucher, A Drouin, K Haustein, F Kreienkamp, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, A Ribes, Y Robin, M Schneider, JM Soubeyroux, SI Seneviratne, MM Vogel, M Wehner | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2020 | 15
  8. A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses

    Over the last few years, methods have been developed to answer questions on the effect of global ...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, R Vautard, K van der Wiel, A King, F Lott, J Arrighi, R Singh, M van Aalst | published | Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr. | 2020 | 6
  9. Challenges to understanding extreme weather changes in lower income countries

    The science of event attribution has emerged to routinely answer the question whether and to what...

    FEL Otto, L Harrington, K Schmitt, S Philip, S Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, R Singh, J Kimutai, P Wolski | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2020
  10. Attributing the 2017 Bangladesh floods from meteorological and hydrological perspectives

    In August 2017 Bangladesh faced one of its worst river flooding events in recent history. This pa...

    S Philip, S Sparrow, SF Kew,  K van der Wiel, N Wanders, R Singh, A Hassan, K Mohammed, H Javid, K Haustein, FEL Otto, F Hirpa, RH Rimi, AKM Saiful Islam, DCH Wallom, and GJ van Oldenborgh | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2019 | 23
  11. The exceptional summer heat wave in southern Europe 2017

    SF Kew, SY Philip, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2019 | 100
  12. Validation of a Rapid Attribution of the May/June 2016 Flood-Inducing Precipitation in France to Climate Change

    The extreme precipitation that resulted in historic flooding in central-northern France began 26 ...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, E Aalbers, R Vautard, FEL Otto, K Haustein, F Habets, R Singh | published | J. Hydrometeor. | 2018 | 19
  13. Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015–2017

    In the period 2015–2017, the Western Cape region has suffered from three consecutive years of bel...

    FEL Otto, P Wolski, F Lehner, C Tebaldi, GJ van Oldenborgh, S Hogesteeger, R Singh, P Holden, NS Fučkar, RC Odoulami | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2018 | 13
  14. Attributing drivers of the 2016 Kenyan drought

    In 2016 and continuing into 2017, Kenya experienced drought conditions, with over 3 million peopl...

    P Uhe, AY Philip, SF Kew, K Shah, J Kimutai, E Mwangi, GJ van Oldenborgh, R Singh, J Arrighi, E Jjemba, H Cullen, FEL Otto | published | Int. J. Climatology | 2018 | 38
  15. Attribution Analysis of the Ethiopian Drought of 2015

    In northern and central Ethiopia, 2015 was a very dry year. Rainfall was only from one-half to th...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, S O'Keefe, K Haustein, A King, A Zegeye, Z Eshetu, K Hailemariam, R Singh, E Jjemba, C Funk, H Cullen | published | J. Climate | 2018 | 31
  16. A Multimethod Attribution Analysis of the Prolonged Northeast Brazil Hydrometeorological Drought (2012–16)

    Northeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2016 due to a five-year drought. Using m...

    ESPR Martins, CAS Coelho, R Haarsma, FEL Otto, AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh, SF Kew, SY Philip, FC Vasconceles Junior, H Cullen | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2018 | 99
  17. Attribution of Wintertime Anticyclonic Stagnation Contributing to Air Pollution in Western Europe

    Climate simulations suggest a potential increase in frequency of stagnant wintertime conditions t...

    R Vautard, A Colette, E van Meijgaard, F Meleux, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, I Tobin, P Yiou | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2018 | 99
  18. Extreme heat in India and anthropogenic climate change

    On 19 May 2016 the afternoon temperature reached 51.0 ◦C in Phalodi in the northwest of India – a...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, SY Philip, SF Kew, M van Weele, P Uhe, FEL Otto, R Singh, I Pal, H Cullen, K AchutaRao | published | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2018 | 18
  19. Climate change increases the probability of heavy rains in Northern England/Southern Scotland like those of storm Desmond - a real-time event attribution revisited

    On 4–6 December 2015, storm Desmond caused very heavy rainfall in Northern England and Southern S...

    FEL Otto, K van der Wiel, GJ van Oldenborgh, S Philip, S Kew, P Uhe, H Cullen | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2018 | 13
  20. Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017

    During August 25–30, 2017, Hurricane Harvey stalled over Texas and caused extreme precipitation, ...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, K van der Wiel, A Sebastian, R Singh, J Arrighi, FEL Otto, K Haustein, S Li, G Vecchi, H Cullen | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2017 | 12
  21. Have precipitation extremes and annual totals been increasing in the world's dry regions over the last 60 years?

    Daily precipitation extremes and annual totals have increased in large parts of the global land a...

    S Sippel, J Zscheischler, M Heimann, H Lange, MD Mahecha, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, M Reichstein | published | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2017 | 21
  22. The attribution question

    Understanding how the overall risks of extreme events are changing in a warming world requires bo...

    FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh, J Eden, PA Stott, DJ Karoly, MR Allen | published | Nature Climate Change | 2016 | 6
  23. Multi-method attribution analysis of extreme precipitation in Boulder, Colorado

    Understanding and attributing the characteristics of extreme events that lead to societal impacts...

    JM Eden, K Wolter, FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2016 | 11
  24. How rare were the unusually high temperatures around the North Pole in November–December 2016 and how were they influenced by anthropogenic climate change?

    GJ van Oldenborgh, M Macias-Fauria, AD King, P Uhe, SY Philip, S Kew, D Karoly, FEL Otto, MR Allen, H Cullen | published | website Climate central | 2016
  25. Chennai onder water

    GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, K Haustein, K AchutaRao | published | Meteorologica | 2016