The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) has published the KNMI’06 climate scenarios in 2006. These scenarios give possible states of the climate in The Netherlands for the next century. Projections of changes in precipitation were made for a time scale of one day. The urban drainage sector is, however, more interested in projections on shorter time scales. Specifically, time scales of one hour or less. The aim of this research is to provide projections of precipitation at these shorter time scales based on the available daily scenarios. This involves an analysis of climate variables and their relations to precipitation at different time scales. On the basis of this analysis, one can determine a numeric factor to translate daily projections into shorter time scale projections.
YL Romero, J Bessembinder, NC van de Giesen, FHM van de Ven. . A Relation between Extreme Daily Precipitation and Extreme Short Term Precipitation
accepted, Climatic Change, 2011