Recent scenario studies on water management focus on one or two projection years and the effects on the water system and functions. The future is however more complex and dynamic. Therefore, we analyse transient scenarios in order to evaluate the performance of water management strategies. Current available simulation tools are not suitable for this purpose. Therefore, we have developed and used a tool to simulate 50-100 year long time series and that is good and fast enough to simulate the effect of these scenarios and strategies on the water system and the interaction with the human system. We present the first step by means of a case study.
M Haasnoot, H Middelkoop, W van Deursen, E van Beek, J Beersma. Effect analysis of transient scenarios for successful water management strategies
2008, 2008, Netherlands Centre for River Studies, NCR-publication 33-2008