KNMI presents the KNMI’14 climate scenarios: four new
scenarios for future climate change in the Netherlands.
Each scenario provides a consistent picture of the changes in
12 climate variables, including temperature, precipitation, sea
level, and wind. Not only the changes in the mean climate are
depicted, but also changes in the extremes such as the
coldest winter day and the maximum hourly precipitation per
year. The changes are for two different time horizons: around
2050 and around 2085, relative to the reference period of
1981-2010, published in the KNMI climate atlas 2).
The KNMI’14 scenarios are the four combinations of two
possible values for the global temperature increase,
‘Moderate’ and ‘Warm’, and two possible changes in the air
circulation pattern, ‘Low value’ and ‘High value’. Together they
span the likely changes in the climate of the Netherlands
according to the newest insights.
By providing these KNMI’14 scenarios KNMI offers a guide for
evaluating the consequences of climate change and for
developing options and strategies for climate adaptation.
They will enable users to include climate change when making
decisions to ensure that the Netherlands will have a safe and
Albert Klein Tank, Jules Beersma, Janette Bessembinder, Bart van den Hurk and Geert Lenderink. KNMI'14 Climatescenarios for the Netherlands (brochure)
KNMI number: nvt-nvt, Year: 2015, Pages: 36