Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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  1. Simulating and Analysing Seabird Flyways: An Approach Combining Least-Cost Path Modelling and Machine Learning

    Aim We develop and test a cost framework to simulate the flyways of migratory seabirds, consider...

    Nomikos Skyllas, Mo A Verhoeven, Maarten JJE Loonen, Richard Bintanja | Global Ecology and Biogeography | 2025 | 34
  2. Model performance and surface impacts of atmospheric river events in Antarctica

    There is increasing evidence that atmospheric rivers (ARs) drive extreme precipitation and melt e...

    Marlen Kolbe, Jose Abraham Torres Alavez, Ruth Mottram, Richard Bintanja, Eveline C van der Linden, Martin Stendel | Discover Atmosphere | 2025 | 3
  3. Vertical structure and surface impact of atmospheric rivers reaching antarctic sea ice and land

    Recent extremes in Antarctic temperature, surface melt and sea ice loss have been robustly linked...

    Marlen Kolbe, Richard Bintanja, Eveline C van der Linden, Raúl R Cordero | Atmospheric Research | 2025 | 315
  4. The time of emergence of Arctic warming, wetting and sea ice melting

    In the rapidly warming and wetting Arctic, the time of emergence (ToE) of a new climate state occ...

    Nicoleta Tsakali, Marlen Kolbe, Richard Bintanja, Nomikos Skyllas | Nature Scientific Reports | 2025 | 15
  5. Impacts of future changes in climate variability on Europe’s renewable electricity systems

    The shift toward renewable energy as part of Europe’s climate-neutral strategy increases the ener...

    L van der Most, K van der Wiel, RMJ Benders, PW Gerbens-Leenes, R Bintanja | Environmental Research: Climate | 2025 | 4
  6. Atmospheric rivers and winter sea ice drive recent reversal in Antarctic ice mass loss

    Since about 2000, the total mass of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) has declined at a near-linear r...

    Marlen Kolbe, Jose Abraham Torres Alavez, Ruth Mottram, Marwan Katurji, Richard Bintanja, Eveline C van der Linden | arXiv | 2025
  7. Abrupt increase in Greenland melt enhanced by atmospheric wave changes

    Recent Greenland ice-sheet melt constitutes a considerable contribution to global sea-level rise....

    Rune Grand Graversen, Tuomas Heiskanen, Richard Bintanja & Heiko Goelzer | Climate Dynamics | 2024 | 62
  8. Vertical structure and surface impact of atmospheric rivers reaching antarctic sea ice and land

    Recent extremes in Antarctic temperature, surface melt and sea ice loss have been robustly linked...

    Marlen Kolbe, Richard Bintanja, Eveline C van der Linden, Raúl R Cordero | Atmospheric Research | 2024 | 315
  9. Temporally compounding energy droughts in European electricity systems with hydropower

    As Europe’s renewable energy capacities expand, electricity systems face increased risks of energ...

    L. van der Most, K. van der Wiel, R. M. J. Benders, P. W. Gerbens-Leenes & R. Bintanja | Nature Energy | 2024
  10. Arctic tern flyways and the changing Atlantic Ocean wind patterns

    Migratory bird trajectories are the result of their own speed and direction in combination with w...

    Nomikos Skyllas, Maarten J.J.E. Loonen, Richard Bintanja | Climate Change Ecology | 2023 | 6
  11. Seasonal and regional contrasts of future trends in interannual arctic climate variability

    Future changes in interannual variability (IAV) of Arctic climate indicators such as sea ice and ...

    Marlen Kolbe1 · Richard Bintanja1, 2 · Eveline C. van der Linden2 | Climate Dynamics | 2023 | 61
  12. Signature of the stratosphere–troposphere coupling on recent record-breaking Antarctic sea-ice anomalies

    In February 2023, the sea-ice extent around Antarctica dropped to 1:79 106 km2, setting a satell...

    Raúl R. Cordero1, Sarah Feron1, 2, Alessandro Damiani3, Pedro J. Llanillo4, Jorge Carrasco5, Alia L. Khan6, 7, Richard Bintanja8, 9, Zutao Ouyang10, and Gino Casassa5 | The Cryosphere | 2023 | 17
  13. Regional polar warming linked to poleward moisture transport variability

    Polar warming, ice melt and strong precipitation events are strongly affected by episodic polewar...

    Richard Bintanja, Rune Grand Graversen, Marlen Kolbe | Environmental Research – Climate | 2023 | 2
  14. Impact of Atmospheric Rivers on Future Poleward Moisture Transport and Arctic Climate in EC-Earth2

    Alongside mean increases in poleward moisture transport (PMT) to the Arctic, most climate models ...

    M Kolbe, JPJ Sonnemans, R Bintanja, EC van der Linden,  K van der Wiel, K Whan, I Benedict | Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres | 2023 | 128
  15. The KNMI Large Ensemble Time Slice (KNMI–LENTIS)

    Large-ensemble modelling has become an increasingly popular approach to studying the mean climate...

    L Muntjewerf, R Bintanja, T Reerink, K van der Wiel | Geoscientific Model Development | 2023 | 16
  16. KNMI'23-klimaatscenario's voor Nederland

    Het KNMI presenteert vier nieuwe scenario’s voor klimaatverandering in Nederland inclusief Caribi...

    Janette Bessembinder, Richard Bintanja, Rob van Dorland, Carine Homan, Bernadet Overbeek, Frank Selten, Peter Siegmund | --2023 | pp65
  17. More Frequent, Intense, and Extensive Rainfall Events in a Strongly Warming Arctic

    The changes in the Arctic precipitation profoundly impact the surface mass balance of ice sheet ...

    T. F. Dou , S. F. Pan, R. Bintanja, C. D. Xiao | Earth's Future | 2022 | 10
  18. Extreme Events in the European Renewable Power System: Validation of a Modeling Framework to Estimate Renewable Electricity Production and Demand from Meteorological Data

    With the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the coming decades will see a transition of Eur...

    L van der Most, K van der Wiel, RMJ Benders, PW Gerbens-Leenes, P Kerkmans, R Bintanja | Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews | 2022 | 170
  19. Increased wheat price spikes and larger economic inequality with 2°C global warming.

    Climate change poses complex impacts on the global wheat supply and demand chain. The impacts of ...

    T Zhang, K van der Wiel, T Wei, J Screen, X Yue, B Zheng, F Selten, R Bintanja, W Anderson, R Blackport, S Glomsrod, Y Liu, X Cui, X Yang | One Earth | 2022 | 5
  20. KNMI Klimaatsignaal'21 Hoe het klimaat in Nederland snel verandert

    Het Klimaatsignaal’21 is gebaseerd op de grote hoeveelheid kennis over klimaatverandering die in ...

    KNMI auteurs per hoofdstuk 1: Peter Siegmund, Bernadet Overbeek, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh † en Hylke de Vries. 2: Peter Siegmund, Rein Haarsma, Nadia Bloemendaal en Job Dullaart. 3: Rob van Dorland. 4: Sybren Drijfhout en Dewi Le Bars. 5: Richard Bintanja, Dewi Le Bars, Caitlin Pot en Nomikos Skyllas. 6: Geert Lenderink, Rob Groenland en Alwin Haklander. 7: Karin van der Wiel, Rein Haarsma, Emma Daniels, Gerard van der Schrier en Emma Aalbers. 8: Andreas Sterl, Jules Beersma en Henk van den Brink. 9: Ben Wichers Schreur. Eindredactie Rob van Dorland | --2021 | pp72
  21. Contribution of climatic changes in mean and variability to monthly temperature and precipitation extremes

    The frequency of climate extremes will change in response to shifts in both mean climate and clim...

    K van der Wiel, R Bintanja | Communications Earth and Environment | 2021 | 2
  22. Ensemble climate-impact modelling: extreme impacts from moderate meteorological conditions

    The investigation of risk due to weather and climate events is an example of policy relevant scie...

    K van der Wiel, FM Selten, R Bintanja, R Blackport, JA Screen | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2020 | 15
  23. Future continental summer warming constrained by the present-day seasonal cycle of surface hydrology

    FM Selten, R Bintanja, R Vautard, B van den Hurk | published | Scientific Reports | 2020 | 10
  24. Strong future increases in Arctic precipitation variability linked to poleward moisture transport

    The Arctic region is projected to experience amplified warming as well as strongly increasing pre...

    R Bintanja, K van der Wiel, EC van der Linden, J Reusen, L Bogerd, F Krikken, FM Selten | published | Science Advances | 2020 | 6
  25. Climate state dependence of Arctic precipitation variability

    L Bogerd, EC van der Linden, F Krikken, R Bintanja | published | J. Geophys. Res. | 2020 | 125