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Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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Publications

  1. Tropical cyclone intensification and extratropical transition under alternate climate conditions: a case study of Hurricane Ophelia (2017)

    Post-tropical cyclones can have substantial impacts on regions unaccustomed to such powerful stor...

    Marjolein Ribberink, Hylke de Vries, Nadia Bloemendaal, Michiel Baatsen, Erik van Meijgaard | Weather and Climate Dynamics | 2026 | 7
  2. Are dependencies of extreme rainfall on humidity more reliable in convection-permitting climate models?

    Convection-permitting climate models (CPMs) are becoming increasingly used in climate change stud...

    Lenderink, G., N. Ban, E. Brisson, S. Berthou, V. E. Cortés-Hernández, E. Kendon, H. J. Fowler, and H. De Vries | Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. | 2025 | 29
  3. A pseudo global warming based system to study how climate change affects high impact rainfall events

    Assessing the influence of climate change on extreme (convective) rainfall is challenging. In par...

    Lenderink, G., H. de Vries, E. van Meijgaard, W. de Rooy, L. van Ulft, V. Thompson, X. Qiu, and H. J. Fowler | Weather and Climate Extremes | 2025 | 49
  4. KNMI Climate Scenarios for Sint Maarten

    The climate scenarios for Sint Maarten show what the island's future climate could look like in 2...

    Meteorological Department St. Maarten (MDS), International Panel on Deltas and Coastal Areas (IPDC) and KNMI: Sheryl Etienne-Leblanc, Joseph Isaac, Anneloes Teunisse, Iris Keizer, Frédérik Ruys, Peter Siegmund, Rein Haarsma, Hylke de Vries. | --2025 | pp28
  5. KNMI Climate Scenarios for Curaçao

    The climate scenarios for Curaçao show what the island's future climate could look like in 2050 a...

    Meteorological Department of Curaçao (MDC), International Panel on Deltas and Coastal Areas (IPDC) and KNMI: Joffrey Boekhoudt, Jonathan Zoetrum, Pédzi Flores-Girigori, Anneloes Teunisse, Iris Keizer, Rein Haarsma, Hylke de Vries, Frédérik Ruys and Peter Siegmund. | --2025 | pp29
  6. KNMI Climate Scenarios for Aruba

    The climate scenarios for Aruba show what the island’s future climate could look like in 2050 and...

    Departamento Meteorologico Aruba (DMA), International Panel on Deltas and Coastal Areas (IPDC) and KNMI: Lothar Irausquin, Anneloes Teunisse, Iris Keizer, Frédérik Ruys, Peter Siegmund, Rein Haarsma, Hylke de Vries. | --2025 | pp29
  7. Een Extreem Rapport

    Extreem weer in tijden van klimaatverandering. In Een Extreem Rapport beschrijven we negen weerse...

    KNMI-auteurs: Nadia Bloemendaal, Maarten Boonekamp, Bram van Duinen, Job Dullaart-van Veen, Geert Lenderink, Erik van Meijgaard, Lone Mokkenstorm, Carolina Pereira Marghidan, Gerard van der Schrier, Peter Siegmund, Bart Verheggen, Leon van Voorst, Hylke de Vries. | --2025 | pp75
  8. On the movement of atmospheric blocking systems and the associated temperature responses

    The quasi-stationary behaviour of atmospheric blocking is studied using a Lagrangian framework th...

    Jonna van Mourik, Hylke de Vries, Michiel Baatsen | Weather and Climate Dynamics | 2025 | 6
  9. Are dependencies of extreme rainfall on humidity more reliable in convection-permitting climate models?

    Convection-permitting climate models (CPMs) are becoming increasingly used in climate change stud...

    Geert Lenderink, Nikolina Ban, Erwan Brisson, Ségolène Berthou, Virginia Edith Cortés-Hernández, Elizabeth Kendon, Hayley Fowler, and Hylke de Vries | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2024
  10. The added value of km-scale simulations to describe temperature over complex orography: the CORDEX FPS-Convection multi-model ensemble runs over the Alps

    The increase in computational resources has enabled the emergence of multi-model ensembles of con...

    P. M. M. Soares, J. A. M. Careto, Rita M. Cardoso, Klaus Goergen, Eleni Katragkou, Stefan Sobolowski, Erika Coppola, Nikolina Ban, Danijel Belušić, Ségolène Berthou, Cécile Caillaud, Andreas Dobler, Øivind Hodnebrog, Stergios Kartsios, Geert Lenderink, T. Lorenz, Josipa Milovac, Hendrik Feldmann, Emanuela Pichelli, Heimo Truhetz, Marie Estelle Demory, Hylke de Vries, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi, Klaus Keuler, …Sophie Bastin | Climate Dynamics | 2024 | 62
  11. Northwestern Mediterranean Heavy Precipitation Events in a Warmer Climate: Robust Versus Uncertain Changes With a Large Convection-Permitting Model Ensemble

    Taking advantage of a large ensemble of Convection Permitting-Regional Climate Models on a pan-Al...

    Cécile Caillaud, Samuel Somot, Hervé Douville, Antoinette Alias, Sophie Bastin, Susanne Brienen, Marie-Estelle Demory, Andreas Dobler, Hendrik Feldmann, Thomas Frisius, Klaus Goergen, Elizabeth J. Kendon, Klaus Keuler, Geert Lenderink, Paola Mercogliano, Emanuela Pichelli, Pedro M. M. Soares, Merja H. Tölle, Hylke de Vries | Geophysical Rearch Letters | 2024 | 51
  12. Convection-permitting climate models offer more certain extreme rainfall projections

    Extreme precipitation events lead to dramatic impacts on society and the situation will worsen un...

    Giorgia Fosser, Marco Gaetani, Elizabeth J. Kendon, Marianna Adinolfi, Nikolina Ban, Danijel Belušić, Cécile Caillaud, João A. M. Careto, Erika Coppola, Marie-Estelle Demory, Hylke de Vries, Andreas Dobler, Hendrik Feldmann, Klaus Goergen, Geert Lenderink, Emanuela Pichelli, Christoph Schär, Pedro M. M. Soares, Samuel Somot & Merja H. Tölle | npj climate and atmospheric science | 2024 | 7
  13. Western Europe's extreme July 2019 heatwave in a warmer world

    Summertime heatwaves are extreme events with a large societal impact. Intensity, duration and spa...

    Hylke de Vries, Geert Lenderink, Erik van Meijgaard, Bert van Ulft, Wim de Rooy | Environ. Res.: Climate | 2024 | 3
  14. Changing dynamics of Western European summertime cut‐off lows: A case study of the July 2021 flood event

    In July 2021, a cut‐off low‐pressure system brought extreme precipitation to Western Europe. Reco...

    Vikki Thompson, Dim Coumou, Vera Melinda Galfi, Tamara Happé, Sarah Kew, Izidine Pinto, Sjoukje Philip, Hylke de Vries, Karin van der Wiel | Atmospheric Science Letters | 2024 | 25
  15. Improving our understanding of future tropical cyclone intensities in the Caribbean using a high-resolution regional climate model

    The Caribbean region is prone to the strong winds and low air pressures of tropical cyclones and ...

    Job C. M. Dullaart, Hylke de Vries, Nadia Bloemendaal, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Sanne Muis | Scientific Reports | 2024 | 14
  16. Drivers of Caribbean precipitation change due to global warming: analyses and emergent constraint of CMIP6 simulations

    Using 31 CMIP6 models we have analyzed projected future Caribbean precipitation. The model mean p...

    Marta Brotons, Rein Haarsma, Nadia Bloemendaal, Hylke de Vries, Teddy Allen | Climate Dynamics | 2024 | 62
  17. KNMI Climate Scenarios for Suriname

    This report discusses the climate scenarios for Suriname that were developed within the Makandra ...

    E.C. Koole, N. Bloemendaal, M. Brotons, R. Haarsma, I. Keizer, D. Le Bars and H. de Vries | --2024 | pp37 p.
  18. The 2018 west-central European drought projected in a warmer climate: how much drier can it get?

    Projections of changes in extreme droughts un- der future climate conditions are associated with ...

    Emma E. Aalbers, Erik van Meijgaard, Geert Lenderink, Hylke de Vries, Bart J. J. M. van den Hurk | NHESS | 2023 | 23
  19. The climate change response of alpine‐mediterranean heavy precipitation events

    The present study analyses the climate change response of Alpine-Mediterranean heavy precipitatio...

    Sebastian K. Müller, Emanuela Pichelli, Erika Coppola, Segolene Berthou, Susanne Brienen, Cécile Caillaud, Marie‐Estelle Demory, Andreas Dobler, Hendrik Feldmann, Paola Mercogliano, Merja Tölle, Hylke de Vries | Climate Dynamics | 2023
  20. Investigating the representation of heatwaves from an ensemble of km‐scale regional climate simulations within CORDEX‐FPS convection

    Heatwaves (HWs) are high-impact phenomena stressing both societies and ecosystems. Their intensit...

    L. Sangelantoni, S. Sobolowski, T. Lorenz, Ø. Hodnebrog, R. M. Cardoso, P. M. M. Soares, R. Ferretti, A. Lavín‐Gullón., J. Fernandez, K. Goergen, J. Milovac, E. Katragkou, S. Kartsios, E. Coppola, E. Pichelli, M. Adinolfi, P. Mercogliano, S. Berthou, H. de Vries, A. Dobler, D. Belušić, H. Feldmann, M. H. Tölle, S. Bastin | Climate Dynamics | 2023
  21. Attribution of the heavy rainfall events leading to severe flooding in Western Europe during July 2021

    In July 2021 extreme rainfall across Western Europe caused severe flooding and substantial impact...

    Jordis S. Tradowsky, Sjoukje Y. Philip, Frank Kreienkamp, Sarah F. Kew, Philip Lorenz, Julie Arrighi, Thomas Bettmann, Steven Caluwaerts, Steven C. Chan, Lesley De Cruz, Hylke de Vries, Norbert Demuth, Andrew Ferrone, Erich M. Fischer, Hayley J. Fowler, Klaus Goergen, Dorothy Heinrich, Yvonne Henrichs, Frank Kaspar, Geert Lenderink, Enno Nilson, Friederike E. L. Otto, Francesco Ragone, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Roop K. Singh, Amalie Skålevåg, Piet Termonia, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Joris Van den Bergh, Hans Van de Vyver, Stéphane Vannitsem, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Bert Van Schaeybroeck, Robert Vautard, Demi Vonk & Niko Wanders | Climatic Change | 2023 | 176
  22. KNMI National Climate Scenarios 2023 for the Netherlands

    This is the scientific report, which supports the Dutch ‘gebruikersrapport’ with more background ...

    R. van Dorland, J. Beersma, J. Bessembinder, N. Bloemendaal, H. van den Brink, M. Brotons Blanes, S. Drijfhout, R. Haarsma, I. Keizer, F. Krikken D. Le Bars, G. Lenderink, E. van Meijgaard, J. F. Meirink, T. Reerink, F. Selten, C. Severijns, P. Siegmund, A. Sterl, B. Overbeek, H. de Vries, B. Wichers Schreur, K. van der Wiel | --2023 | pp365
  23. A perfect model study on the reliability of the added small-scale information in regional climate change projections

    he issue of the added value (AV) of high resolution regional climate models is complex and still ...

    Lenderink, Geert, de Vries, Hylke, van Meijgaard, Erik, van der Wiel, Karin and Selten, Frank | Climate Dynamics | 2023 | 60
  24. Quantifying the role of the large‑scale circulation on European summer precipitation change

    Regional climate projections indicate that European summer precipitation may change considerably ...

    H de Vries, G Lenderink, K van der Wiel, E van Meijgaard | Climate Dynamics | 2022 | 59
  25. Model development in practice: a comprehensive update to the boundary layer schemes in HARMONIE-AROME cycle 40

    The parameterised description of subgrid-scale processes in the clear and cloudy boundary layer h...

    Wim C. de Rooy, Pier Siebesma, Peter Baas, Geert Lenderink, Stephan R. de Roode, Hylke de Vries, Erik van Meijgaard, Jan Fokke Meirink, Sander Tijm, and Bram van 't Veen | Geosci. Model Dev. | 2022 | 15