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Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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Publications

  1. KNMI National Climate Scenarios 2023 for the Netherlands

    This is the scientific report, which supports the Dutch ‘gebruikersrapport’ with more background ...

    R. van Dorland, J. Beersma, J. Bessembinder, N. Bloemendaal, H. van den Brink, M. Brotons Blanes, S. Drijfhout, R. Haarsma, I. Keizer, F. Krikken D. Le Bars, G. Lenderink, E. van Meijgaard, J. F. Meirink, T. Reerink, F. Selten, C. Severijns, P. Siegmund, A. Sterl, B. Overbeek, H. de Vries, B. Wichers Schreur, K. van der Wiel | --2023 | pp365
  2. KNMI'23-klimaatscenario's voor Nederland

    Het KNMI presenteert vier nieuwe scenario’s voor klimaatverandering in Nederland inclusief Caribi...

    Janette Bessembinder, Richard Bintanja, Rob van Dorland, Carine Homan, Bernadet Overbeek, Frank Selten, Peter Siegmund | --2023 | pp65
  3. A perfect model study on the reliability of the added small-scale information in regional climate change projections

    he issue of the added value (AV) of high resolution regional climate models is complex and still ...

    Lenderink, Geert, de Vries, Hylke, van Meijgaard, Erik, van der Wiel, Karin and Selten, Frank | Climate Dynamics | 2023 | 60
  4. The ExtremeX global climate model experiment: Investigating thermodynamic and dynamic processes contributing to weather and climate extremes

    The mechanisms leading to the occurrence of extreme weather and climate events are varied and com...

    Kathrin Wehrli, Fei Luo, Mathias Hauser, Hideo Shiogama, Daisuke Tokuda, Hyungjun Kim, Dim Coumou, Wilhelm May, Philippe Le Sager, Frank Selten, Olivia Martius, Robert Vautard, Sonia I Seneviratne | Earth System Dynamics | 2022 | 13
  5. Increased wheat price spikes and larger economic inequality with 2°C global warming.

    Climate change poses complex impacts on the global wheat supply and demand chain. The impacts of ...

    T Zhang, K van der Wiel, T Wei, J Screen, X Yue, B Zheng, F Selten, R Bintanja, W Anderson, R Blackport, S Glomsrod, Y Liu, X Cui, X Yang | One Earth | 2022 | 5
  6. Drukgolven in Nederland na de eruptie in Tonga op 15 januari 2022

    Op 15 januari 2022 vond een explosieve uitbarsting plaats van de vulkaan Hunga in Tonga. De drukg...

    JD Assink, F Bosveld, JF Meirink, F Selten, W Mol | Meteorologica | 2022 | 31
  7. Summertime Rossby waves in climate models: substantial biases in surface imprint associated with small biases in upper-level circulation

    In boreal summer, circumglobal Rossby waves can promote stagnating weather systems that favor ext...

    Luo, F. , Selten, F. , Wehrli, K. , Kornhuber, K. , Le Sager, P. , May, W. , Reerink, T. , Seneviratne, S. I. and Shiogama, H. , Tokuda, D. , Kim, H. , Coumou, D. | Weather Clim. Dynam. | 2022
  8. Intransitive atmosphere dynamics leading to persistent hot-dry or cold-wet European summer

    Persistent hot–dry or cold–wet summer weather can have significant impacts on agriculture, health...

    R Sperna Weiland,  K van der Wiel, F M Selten, D Coumou | Journal of Climate | 2021 | 34
  9. Ensemble climate-impact modelling: extreme impacts from moderate meteorological conditions

    The investigation of risk due to weather and climate events is an example of policy relevant scie...

    K van der Wiel, FM Selten, R Bintanja, R Blackport, JA Screen | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2020 | 15
  10. A seven-fold rise in the probability of exceeding the observed hottest summer in India in a 2°C warmer world

    Heatwaves and extreme temperatures during summer (April-May) in India have profound implications ...

    JS Nanditha, K van der Wiel, U Bhatia, D Stone, FM Selten, V Mishra | published | Environ Res Lett | 2020 | 15
  11. Future continental summer warming constrained by the present-day seasonal cycle of surface hydrology

    FM Selten, R Bintanja, R Vautard, B van den Hurk | published | Scientific Reports | 2020 | 10
  12. Strong future increases in Arctic precipitation variability linked to poleward moisture transport

    The Arctic region is projected to experience amplified warming as well as strongly increasing pre...

    R Bintanja, K van der Wiel, EC van der Linden, J Reusen, L Bogerd, F Krikken, FM Selten | published | Science Advances | 2020 | 6
  13. Improving weather and climate predictions by training of supermodels

    Recent studies demonstrate that weather and climate predictions potentially improve by dynamicall...

    Francine Schevenhoven, Frank Selten, Alberto Carrassi, Noel Keenlyside | Earth System Dynamics | 2019 | 10
  14. Meteorological conditions leading to extreme low variable renewable energy production and extreme high energy shortfall

    To mitigate climate change a renewable energy transition is needed. Existing power systems will n...

    K van der Wiel, LP Stoop, BRH van Zuijlen, R Blackport, MA van den Broeke, FM Selten | published | Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews | 2019 | 111
  15. Added value of large ensemble simulations for assessing extreme river discharge in a 2 °C warmer world

    The assessment of return periods of extreme hydrological events often relies on statistical analy...

    K van der Wiel, N Wanders, FM Selten, MFP Bierkens | published | Geophysical Research Letters | 2019 | 46
  16. The influence of weather regimes on European renewable energy production and demand

    The growing share of variable renewable energy increases the meteorological sensitivity of power ...

    K van der Wiel, HB Bloomfield, RW Lee, LP Stoop, R Blackport, JA Screen, FM Selten | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2019 | 14
  17. An efficient training scheme for supermodels

    Weather and climate models have improved steadily over time as witnessed by objective skill score...

    Francine J. Schevenhoven, Frank M. Selten | Earth System Dynamics | 2017 | 8
  18. Simulating climate with a synchronization-based supermodel

    The SPEEDO global climate model (an atmosphere model coupled to a land and an ocean/sea-ice model...

    Frank M. Selten, Francine J. Schevenhoven and Gregory S. Duane | Chaos | 2017 | 27
  19. Stochastic Convection Parameterization with Markov Chains in an Intermediate-Complexity GCM

    Conditional Markov chain (CMC) models have proven to be promising building blocks for stochastic ...

    J Dorrestijn, DT Crommelin, AP Siebesma, HJJ Jonker, F Selten | published | J. Atmos. Sci. | 2016 | 73
  20. Dynamically combining climate models to “supermodel” the tropical Pacific

    We construct an interactive ensemble of two different climate models to improve simulation of key...

    ML Shen, N Keenlyside, FM Selten, W Wiegerinck, GS Duane | published | Geophys. Res. Lett. | 2016 | 43
  21. Decelerating Atlantic meridional overturning circulation main cause of future west European summer atmospheric circulation changes

    We use state-of-the-art global climate models and observations to show that the projected higher ...

    RJ Haarsma, FM Selten, SS Drijfhout | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2016 | 10
  22. The ocean-atmosphere response to wind-induced thermocline changes in the tropical South Western Indian Ocean

    In the Indian Ocean basin the sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are most sensitive to changes in th...

    I Manola, FM Selten, W de Ruijter, W Hazeleger | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2015 | 45
  23. The diurnal cycle of cloud feedback and land surface warming in climate models.

    We examine the diurnal cycle of cloud feedback using high frequency outputs in CFMIP-2 idealised ...

    MJ Webb, AP Lock, A Bodas-Salcedo, S Bony, JNS Cole, T Koshiro, H Kawai, C Lacagnina, FM Selten, R Roehrig, B Stevens | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2015 | 44
  24. Impact of changes in the formulation of cloud‐related processes on model biases and climate feedbacks

    To test the impact of modeling uncertainties and biases on the simulation of cloud feedbacks, sev...

    C Lacagnina, FM Selten, AP Siebesma | published | J. of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems | 2014
  25. KNMI'14: Climate Change scenarios for the 21st Century – A Netherlands perspective

    This report documents and motivates the KNMI’14 climate change scenarios. It has an intermediate ...

    B van den Hurk, P Siegmund, A Klein Tank, J Attema, A Bakker, J Beersma, J Bessembinder, R Boers, T Brandsma, H van den Brink, S Drijfhout, H Eskes, R Haarsma, W Hazeleger, R Jilderda, C Katsman, G Lenderink, J Loriaux, E van Meijgaard, T van Noije, GJ van Oldenborgh, F Selten, P Siebesma, A Sterl, H de Vries, M van Weele, R de Winter, G-J van Zadelhoff | 26-5-2014 | pp120