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Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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Publications

  1. Formally combining different lines of evidence in extreme-event attribution

    Event attribution methods are increasingly routinely used to assess the role of climate change in...

    Friederike EL Otto, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Robert Vautard | Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography | 2024 | 10
  2. Could an extremely cold central European winter such as 1963 happen again despite climate change?

    Central European winters have warmed markedly since the mid-20th century. Yet cold winters are st...

    Sebastian Sippel, Clair Barnes, Camille Cadiou, Erich Fischer, Sarah Kew, Marlene Kretschmer, Sjoukje Philip, Theodore G Shepherd, Jitendra Singh, Robert Vautard, Pascal Yiou | EGUsphere | 2024 | 5
  3. Frontiers in attributing climate extremes and associated impacts

    The field of extreme event attribution (EEA) has rapidly developed over the last two decades. Var...

    Sarah Elizabeth Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Lisa Alexander, Andrew King, Sarah Kew, Sjoukje Philip, Clair Barnes, Douglas Maraun, Rupert Stuart-Smith, Aglae Jezequel, Emanuele Bevacqua, Samantha Burgess, Erich Fischer, Gabriele Hegerl, Joyce Kimutai, Gerbrand Koren, Kamoru Abiodun Lawal, Seung-Ki Min, Mark New, Romaric Odoulami, Christina Patricola, Izidine Pinto, Aurelien Ribes, Tiffany Shaw, Wim Thiery, Blair Trewin, Robert Vautard, Michael Wehner, Jakob Zscheischler | Frontiers in Climate | 2024 | 6
  4. Heat extremes linearly shift with global warming, with frequency doubling per decade since 1979

    Heat extremes have been increasing both in frequency and in intensity in most land regions of the...

    Robert Vautard, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Izidine Pinto and Friederieke E L Otto | Environmental Research Letters | 2024 | 19
  5. Interplay between climate change and climate variability: the 2022 drought in Central South America

    Since 2019, Central South America (CSA) has been reeling under drought conditions, with the last ...

    Arias, P.A., Rivera, J.A., Sörensson, A.A., Zachariah, M., Barnes, C., Philip, S., Kew, S., Vautard, R., Koren, G., Pinto, I. and Vahlberg, M. | Climatic Change | 2024 | 177
  6. Climate change increased extreme monsoon rainfall, flooding highly vulnerable communities in Pakistan

    As a direct consequence of extreme monsoon rainfall throughout the summer 2022 season Pakistan ex...

    Friederike EL Otto, Mariam Zachariah, Fahad Saeed, Ayesha Siddiqi, Shahzad Kamil, Haris Mushtaq, T Arulalan, Krishna AchutaRao, ST Chaithra, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Robert Vautard, Gerbrand Koren, Izidine Pinto, Piotr Wolski, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Maarten van Aalst, Lisa Thalheimer, Emmanuel Raju, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Luke J Harrington, Ben Clarke | Environmental Research: Climate | 2023 | 2
  7. Extreme April heat in Spain, Portugal, Morocco & Algeria almost impossible without climate change

    https://doi.org/10.25561/103833 Main findings • Heatwaves are amongst the deadliest natural h...

    Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Robert Vautard, M Vahlberg, R Singh, F Driouech, R Lguensat, C Barnes, F Otto | 2023
  8. Attribution of 2022 early-spring heatwave in India and Pakistan to climate change: lessons in assessing vulnerability and preparedness in reducing impacts

    In March 2022, large parts over the north Indian plains including the breadbasket region, and sou...

    Mariam Zachariah, T Arulalan, Krishna AchutaRao, Fahad Saeed, Roshan Jha, Manish Kumar Dhasmana, Arpita Mondal, Remy Bonnet, Robert Vautard, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Dorothy Heinrich, Lisa Thalheimer, Carolina Pereira Marghidan, Aditi Kapoor, Maarten van Aalst, Emmanuel Raju, Sihan Li, Jingru Sun, Gabriel Vecchi, Wenchang Yang, Mathias Hauser, Dominik L Schumacher, Sonia I Seneviratne, Luke J Harrington, Friederike EL Otto | Environ. Res.: Climate | 2023 | 2
  9. 2022 early-summer heatwave in Southern South America: 60 times more likely due to climate change

    A large area including the central-northern part of Argentina, southern Bolivia, central Chile, a...

    Juan Antonio Rivera, Paola A. Arias, Anna A. Sörensson, Mariam Zachariah, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Robert Vautard, Gerbrand Koren, Izidine Pinto, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Emmanuel Raju, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Luke J. Harrington & Friederike E. L. Otto | Climatic Change | 2023 | 176
  10. Attribution of the heavy rainfall events leading to severe flooding in Western Europe during July 2021

    In July 2021 extreme rainfall across Western Europe caused severe flooding and substantial impact...

    Jordis S. Tradowsky, Sjoukje Y. Philip, Frank Kreienkamp, Sarah F. Kew, Philip Lorenz, Julie Arrighi, Thomas Bettmann, Steven Caluwaerts, Steven C. Chan, Lesley De Cruz, Hylke de Vries, Norbert Demuth, Andrew Ferrone, Erich M. Fischer, Hayley J. Fowler, Klaus Goergen, Dorothy Heinrich, Yvonne Henrichs, Frank Kaspar, Geert Lenderink, Enno Nilson, Friederike E. L. Otto, Francesco Ragone, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Roop K. Singh, Amalie Skålevåg, Piet Termonia, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Joris Van den Bergh, Hans Van de Vyver, Stéphane Vannitsem, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Bert Van Schaeybroeck, Robert Vautard, Demi Vonk & Niko Wanders | Climatic Change | 2023 | 176
  11. The Worldwide C3S CORDEX Grand Ensemble: A Major Contribution to Assess Regional Climate Change in the IPCC AR6 Atlas

    The collaboration between the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) and t...

    Javier Diez-Sierra, Maialen Iturbide, José M. Gutiérrez, Jesús Fernández, Josipa Milovac, Antonio S. Cofiño, Ezequiel Cimadevilla, Grigory Nikulin, Guillaume Levavasseur, Erik Kjellström, Katharina Bülow, András Horányi, Anca Brookshaw, Markel García-Díez, Antonio Pérez, Jorge Baño-Medina, Bodo Ahrens, Antoinette Alias, Moetasim Ashfaq, Melissa Bukovsky, Erasmo Buonomo, Steven Caluwaerts, Sin Chan Chou, Ole B. Christensen, James M. Ciarlò, Erika Coppola, Lola Corre, Marie-Estelle Demory, Vladimir Djurdjevic, Jason P. Evans, Rowan Fealy, Hendrik Feldmann, Daniela Jacob, Sanjay Jayanarayanan, Jack Katzfey, Klaus Keuler, Christoph Kittel, Mehmet Levent Kurnaz, René Laprise, Piero Lionello, Seth McGinnis, Paola Mercogliano, Pierre Nabat, Barış Önol, Tugba Ozturk, Hans-Jürgen Panitz, Dominique Paquin, Ildikó Pieczka, Francesca Raffaele, Armelle Reca Remedio, John Scinocca, Florence Sevault, Samuel Somot, Christian Steger, Fredolin Tangang, Claas Teichmann, Piet Termonia, Marcus Thatcher, Csaba Torma, Erik van Meijgaard, Robert Vautard, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi, Katja Winger, and George Zittis | BAMS | 2022 | 103
  12. The ExtremeX global climate model experiment: Investigating thermodynamic and dynamic processes contributing to weather and climate extremes

    The mechanisms leading to the occurrence of extreme weather and climate events are varied and com...

    Kathrin Wehrli, Fei Luo, Mathias Hauser, Hideo Shiogama, Daisuke Tokuda, Hyungjun Kim, Dim Coumou, Wilhelm May, Philippe Le Sager, Frank Selten, Olivia Martius, Robert Vautard, Sonia I Seneviratne | Earth System Dynamics | 2022 | 13
  13. Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heat wave on the Pacific coast of the US and Canada in June 2021

    Towards the end of June 2021, temperature records were broken by several degrees Celsius in sever...

    Philip, S. Y. and Kew, S. F. and van Oldenborgh, G. J. and Anslow, F. S. and Seneviratne, S. I. and Vautard, R. and Coumou, D. and Ebi, K. L. and Arrighi, J. and Singh, R. and van Aalst, M. and Pereira Marghidan, C. and Wehner, M. and Yang, W. and Li, S. and Schumacher, D. L. and Hauser, M. and Bonnet, R. and Luu, L. N. and Lehner, F. and Gillett, N. and Tradowsky, J. S. and Vecchi, G. A. and Rodell, C. and Stull, R. B. and Howard, R. and Otto, F. E. L | Earth Syst. Dynam. | 2022 | 13
  14. Limited role of climate change in extreme low rainfall associated with southern Madagascar food insecurity, 2019-21

    Southern Madagascar recently experienced a severe food security crisis, made significantly worse ...

    Harrington, Luke James and Wolski, Piotr and Pinto, Izidine and Ramarosandratana, AnzelàMamiarisoa and Barimalala, Rondrotiana and Vautard, Robert and Philip, Sjoukje and Kew, Sarah and Singh, Roop and Heinrich, Dorothy and Arrighi, Julie and Raju, Emmanuel and Thalheimer, Lisa and Razanakoto, Thierry and van Aalst, Maarten and Li, Sihan and Bonnet, Rémy and Yang, Wenchang and Otto, Friederike E L and van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan | Environ. Res.: Climate | 2022
  15. Attributing and Projecting Heatwaves Is Hard: We Can Do Better

    It sounds straightforward. As the Earth warms due to the increased concentration of greenhouse ga...

    Geert Jan Van Oldenborgh, Michael F. Wehner, Robert Vautard, Friederike E. L. Otto, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Peter A. Stott, Gabriele C. Hegerl, Sjoukje Y. Philip, Sarah F. Kew | Earth's Future | 2022 | 10
  16. Human influence on growing-period frosts like the early April 2021 in Central France

    In early April 2021 several days of harsh frost affected central Europe. This led to very severe ...

    Vautard, R., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Bonnet, R., Li, S., Robin, Y., Kew, S., Philip, S., Soubeyroux, J.-M., Dubuisson, B., Viovy, N., Reichstein, M., Otto, F., and Garcia de Cortazar-Atauri, I | NHESSD | 2022
  17. Assessment of the European Climate Projections as Simulated by the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional and Global Climate Model Ensemble

    This paper analyzes the ensemble of regional climate model (RCM) projections for Europe completed...

    Erika Coppola, Rita Nogherotto, James M. Ciarlo', Filippo Giorgi, Erik van Meijgaard, Nikolay Kadygrov, Carley Iles, Lola Corre, Marit Sandstad, Samuel Somot, Pierre Nabat, Robert Vautard, Guillaume Levavasseur, Clemens Schwingshackl, Jana Sillmann, Erik Kjellström, Grigory Nikulin, Emma Aalbers, Geert Lenderink, Ole B. Christensen, Fredrik Boberg, Silje Lund Sørland, Marie-Estelle Demory, Katharina Bülow, Claas Teichmann, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi, Volker Wulfmeyer | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres | 2021 | 126
  18. Evaluation of the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional Climate Model Ensemble

    The use of regional climate model (RCM)-based projections for providing regional climate informat...

    Robert Vautard, Nikolay Kadygrov, Carley Iles, Fredrik Boberg, Erasmo Buonomo, Katharina Bülow, Erika Coppola, Lola Corre, Erik van Meijgaard, Rita Nogherotto, Marit Sandstad, Clemens Schwingshackl, Samuel Somot, Emma Aalbers, Ole B. Christensen, James M. Ciarlo, Marie-Estelle Demory, Filippo Giorgi, Daniela Jacob, Richard G. Jones, Klaus Keuler, Erik Kjellström, Geert Lenderink, Guillaume Levavasseur, Grigory Nikulin, Jana Sillmann, Cosimo Solidoro, Silje Lund Sørland, Christian Steger, Claas Teichmann, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi, Volker Wulfmeyer | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres | 2021 | 126
  19. Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change

    Disastrous bushfires during the last months of 2019 and January 2020 affected Australia, raising ...

    Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Folmer Krikken, Sophie Lewis, Nicholas J. Leach, Flavio Lehner, Kate R. Saunders, Michiel van Weele, Karsten Haustein, Sihan Li, David Wallom, Sarah Sparrow, Julie Arrighi, Roop K. Singh, Maarten K. van Aalst3, Sjoukje Y. Philip, Robert Vautard, and Friederike E. L. Otto | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2021 | 21
  20. Pathways and pitfalls in extreme event attribution

    The last few years have seen an explosion of interest in extreme event attribution, the science o...

    GJ van Oldenborgh,  K van der Wiel, S Kew, S Philip, F Otto, R Vautard, A King, F Lott, J Arrighi, R Singh, M van Aalst | Climatic Change | 2021 | 166
  21. Attribution of typhoon-induced torrential precipitation in Central Vietnam, October 2020

    In October 2020, Central Vietnam was struck by heavy rain resulting from a sequence of 5 tropical...

    Luu LN, Scussolini P, Kew S, Philip S, Hariadi MH, Vautard R, Van Mai K, Van Vu T, Truong KB, Otto F, van der Schrier G., van Aalst, M. K. amd van Oldenborgh, G. J. | Climatic Change | 2021 | 169
  22. Human contribution to the record-breaking June and July 2019 heat waves in Western Europe

    Two extreme heatwaves hit Western Europe in the summer of 2019, with historical records broken by...

    R Vautard, MK van Aalst, O Boucher, A Drouin, K Haustein, F Kreienkamp, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, A Ribes, Y Robin, M Schneider, JM Soubeyroux, SI Seneviratne, MM Vogel, M Wehner | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2020 | 15
  23. A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses

    Over the last few years, methods have been developed to answer questions on the effect of global ...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, R Vautard, K van der Wiel, A King, F Lott, J Arrighi, R Singh, M van Aalst | published | Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr. | 2020 | 6
  24. Future continental summer warming constrained by the present-day seasonal cycle of surface hydrology

    FM Selten, R Bintanja, R Vautard, B van den Hurk | published | Scientific Reports | 2020 | 10
  25. Cold waves are getting milder in the northern midlatitudes

    The strong two-day cold wave in the midwestern United States in January 2019 again ignited the di...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, E Mitchell-Larson, G Vecchi, H de Vries, R Vautard, F Otto | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2019 | 14